SIGHTINGS


 
Hawking Predicts
Genetically-Modified Humans
BBC News
3-13-99
 
Professor Stephen Hawking has painted a future of genetically-modified (GM) humans - and the discovery of a mathematical "theory of everything", in a speech at Cambridge University.
 
He also said that if aliens had visited Earth - which he did not consider likely - it would have been "more like Independence Day than ET".
 
Professor Hawking, of the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics at Cambridge, was speaking at the launch of events marking the sixth National Science Week.
 
The week coincides with the 10-day Science, Engineering and Technology (SET) '99, designed to bring the public closer to scientific research.
 
In a typically wide-ranging talk - entitled The Future of Science - the professor said he did not advocate the genetic redesign of human beings, but saw it as inevitable as scientists gained a more complete understanding of DNA.
 
"Many people will say that genetic engineering on humans should be banned, but I rather doubt if they will be able to prevent it," he said.
 
"Genetic engineering on plants and animals will be allowed for economic reasons and someone is bound to try it on humans."
 
He said that it was unlikely to occur in the next 100 years, but GM humans would arrive in the next millennium and they would bear little resemblance to the people of today.
 
Professor Hawking added that the only way he could see such a situation being prevented was in the event of a "totalitarian world order".
 
He also said he was "confident" that the so-called theory of everything - something of a mathematical "Holy Grail" - would be discovered within the next 100 years and possibly in the next 20.
 
Professor Hawking himself is acknowledged as one to the world's greatest living mathematicians.
 
"To a large extent we will have to rely on mathematical beauty and certainty to discover the theory of everything," he said.
 
Travel to the stars
 
"I will take a bet on 50/50 odds that it will be within the next 20 years."
 
Scientists would also develop computers as complex as the human brains, he said.
 
The professor - author of the best-selling A Brief History of Time - also predicted that human beings would voyage to other planets and stars.
 
He said that if there was extra-terrestrial life more advanced than that on Earth, it would probably leave us to develop in our own primitive manner.
 
But it was more likely that aliens would be less advanced than us, he added.




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