- While you read about every kind of disaster from Haiti
to India, from Mexico to Sudan-few understand the ramifications of continued
human overpopulation growth. Mostly, they avoid it! However, as human overload
grows more serious within the United States, more and more people consider
its accelerating consequences as a systematic global predicament.
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- Population expert Jason Brent, "The Future of Mankind-A
Few Simple Rules" states the obvious in his latest essay on humanity's
future.
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- What does an overpopulated world look like Mr. Brent?
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- "Since the earth is finite in size, both economic
and population growth must cease," said Brent. "No power on earth
or in the heavens will permit infinite growth on the finite earth. Nothing
humanity can do or say will permit infinite growth on the finite earth.
New technology, recycling, environmentalism, and even a possible second
or third green revolution will not permit either the economy or the
human population to continue to grow. Any person who advocates economic
growth or economic stimulation may be causing the short term destruction
of humanity as no person knows the level of economic activity which will
cause that to happen. In addition, no person knows the level of economic
activity which will permit the long term survival of our species.
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- "For the last several hundreds of years, and probably,
at least, since the start of agriculture and civilization every aspect
of society has been designed for "more" and designed for "growth".
Since growth will cease and "more" cannot continue, every aspect
of society must be reevaluated and reconsidered. There is a strong probability
that every aspect of society will have to be drastically modified to conform
to the new paradigm. Every aspect of society includes, but is not limited
to, religion, government, charity, justice, morality, life, and death.
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- "Both the economy of the world and the human population
grow in a compound/geometric/exponential manner and not in an arithmetic
manner. Compound/geometric/exponential growth is the most powerful
force in the universe, it overwhelms everything. Nothing can withstand
the power of that type of growth. At a compound growth rate of one-half
of one percent (0.005) per year something will double about every
140 years; at one percent(0.01) it will double about every 70 years; at
two percent (0.02) it will double about every 35 years; and at three percent
(0.03) it will double in slightly less than 24 years--for the purpose
of simplicity I will use 24 years."
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- "While the following statement cannot be proven
with absolute certainty, it is as close to an absolute certainty as any
statement ever made by any human being---humanity will destroy itself before
the economy or the human population grew by a factor of 32 and that would
take between 120 and 700 years depending on the annual growth rate,"
said Brent. "A very strong argument can be made that the resources
of the earth cannot and will not support the current human population
for a period of 500 years at the current usage by humanity of the earth's
finite resources. Choose any growth rate you desire and you can easily
determine when humanity will destroy itself, if either economic or population
were to continue to grow.
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- "Ultimately the level of the human population will
be determined by level of the renewable resources the earth can provide
to humanity on an annual basis for an extended period of time as modified
by the energy received from the sun. Humanity can use its collective intelligence
to increase the efficiency of usage of the resources provided by the earth and
humanity can increase the resources provided by the earth by using
the energy received from the sun. However, neither of these will
permit infinite economic or population growth on the finite earth and ultimately
humanity must realize that its population level will be determined by the
annual amount of resources the earth can provide for an extended period
of time. In my opinion (and I am stating it very clearly to be my opinion)
the earth cannot support more than 300-500 million human beings for any
period of time greater than 500 years. I want to make it absolutely clear
that my opinion is not based on any mathematical calculation. Rather my
opinion is based upon a review of the problems presently facing our species.
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- "Population growth can be reduced to zero or made
negative by three and only three ways--a) By violence, starvation, rape,
disease, ethnic cleansing and other horrors after humanity has exceeded
the carrying capacity of the earth; b) By the voluntary action of
all of humanity (and by all of humanity I mean every group, nation, race,
religion, and even every family and person) for as long as humanity inhabits
the earth; and c) By coercive population control. Since population growth
will cease humanity must choose the method it will use to reduce
population growth to zero or make it negative, either by making a choice
or nature will make that choice and that choice will be by "a"
set forth at the beginning of this paragraph.
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- "Population growth will not be reduced to zero or
made negative by each male fathering only one child and each female giving
birth to one child. Rather, population growth will be reduced by humanity
being divided into two groups-- a) Those that reproduce and b) Those
that die before reproducing or are not permitted to reproduce. Never once
since life began on the earth has population been controlled by each male
fathering only one child and each female giving birth to one child. In
every single case, without even one exception, over the last 3.6-4.0 billion
years population growth for every living species has
been reduced by dividing the population into the two groups described
in this paragraph. The only choice humanity has is to determine how the
division into two groups will be made. If humanity does not use its collective
intelligence to make that division, nature will make it by violence and
the other ways described in "a" in paragraph 5 above.
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- "There are two and only two times at which
population growth can be reduced--a) After birth; and b) Before birth.
Population growth will be reduced after birth when humanity exceeds the
carrying capacity of the planet and at that time it will be reduced
by the horrors described in "a" in paragraph 5 above.
Population growth can be reduced before birth by artificial birth control
and abortion. Abortion is required, since even the best methods of birth
control sometimes fail and/or are not used properly. The rhythm method
demanded by the Catholic Church is not birth control. It is called Vatican
Roulette for a very good reason--its failure rate.
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- "In the event that population growth is reduced
by the horrors set forth in "a" in paragraph 5 (violence,
starvation, rape, disease, ethnic cleansing, and other horrors), in
all probability humanity will be unable to ever, or at least for thousands
of years, restart civilization. This will be caused by the fact that humanity
has used up all of the resources necessary to restart civilization
prior to the violence or as part of the violence. Humanity will return
to the animal state--birth, eat, reproduce, defecate, and die."
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- ____________
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- Frosty Wooldridge has bicycled across six continents
- from the Arctic to the South Pole - as well as six times across the USA,
coast to coast and border to border. In 2005, he bicycled from the Arctic
Circle, Norway to Athens, Greece. He presents "The Coming Population
Crisis in America: and what you can do about it" to civic clubs, church
groups, high schools and colleges. He works to bring about sensible world
population balance at www.frostywooldridge.com He is the author of: America
on the Brink: The Next Added 100 Million Americans. Copies available: 1
888 280 7715
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