- First off, the US Navy has confirmed they are conduicting
live fire missile tests in that area.
- page 55
- According to this official US Navy document the US Navy
is indeed conducting live fire testing of missiles off the coast of California.
This is a repeat of the situation with TWA 800 in which the US Navy at
first denied knowing what missile it was that witnesses reported seeing
only to have to admit to the ongoing tests of Aegis-CEC when the NOTAM
surfaced days later.
- Now, with this confirmation, I want to address this rumor
being seeded all over the blogs about a Chinese nuclear submarine. This
story tracks back to only one dubious source and the story is that a Chinese
Jin class nuclear ballistic missile submarine launched the "Mystery
Missile" as a show of force to the United States.
- This rumor needs to be stopped right now.
- First off, while the Jin is much quieter than its predecessor
the Xia (the running joke here in Hawaii is that you can drop a hydrophone
off Kauai and hear the Xia subs idling at their base in Jianggezhuang),
the Jin is far from the silent machines that the Ohio class subs are. And
like all nuclear boats, the Jin leaves a thermal trace on the surface of
the water in its wake that is detectable by satellite, as is the surface
disturbance created by its submerged passing.
- Indeed, the ability to detect and track submerged submarines
b y their surface wakes using synthetic aperture radar of the ocean surface
was discovered back with SeaSat, which is one reason why the SOSUS networks
have been turned over to the cetologists to track whale migrations.
- Second, the Jin would not need to approach the United
States to make their point. The Julang 2 missile launched from the Jin
has an 8000 KM range.
- Third, and most importantly, why would China do such
a stupid thing? They have the upper hand at the G20. They do not need to
show us a missile; they can destroy the United States with the IOUs. Provoking
a war with China plays to the US' advantage as it gives the US Government
an excuse not to honor their debts.
- Fourth, we know from the NOTAM that the US Navy was in
the area, which makes the possibility of an undetected approach even more
unbelievable. Plus there is the inevitable fact that had the source of
the Missile been anyone other than the US Navy, the Navy would have given
chase to find the launch platform. It's the old "dog did not bark"
logic. The Navy did not act like the source of the missile was unknown
- Personally, I think this "Chinese sub" story
is being planted to give the US Government a scapegoat when they come back
from the G20 with their tails between their legs.
- Michael Rivero
- What Really Happened