- "Dead birds found dead over the past two months
in the Black Sea peninsula tested positive for the H5 subtype
-
- "Domestic fowl began dying in Ukraine's Crimean
region on Oct. 18, but the deaths increased significantly last month, rising
to 1,621."
-
- "It's a frightening, lightning-fast form (of the
virus)," Maria Trukhanovskaya, chief veterinary official of the Crimea
region, said in televised comments."
-
- The above comments suggest the H5N1 wild bird infections
have been present on farms in the Crimea peninsula for the past 6 weeks
without OIE notifications. Moreover, farmers have been improperly disposing
of the dead birds and allowing H5N1 to incubate on the farms, which may
have generated a more virulent version of H5N1.
-
- Unfortunately, it is likely that the above scenario is
not limited to the Crimean peninsula. Romania filed an Oct 7 OIE report
on H5N1 in the Danube Delta, which also is adjacent to the Black Sea.
Media reports suggest birds were dying there since August. Moreover, a
significant portion of the Danube Delta is in the Unkraine and dead birds
have been found near the border with Ukraine as well as Moldova, which
has acknowledged H5N1 infections but has also not filed an OIE report.
-
- H5N1 infections in Croatia, Turkey, and the Volga Delta
suggest that most of not all countries bordering the Caspian Sea or Black
Sea have H5N1 infections (see map).
-
- H5N1 infections in Kuwait as well as H5 antibodies in
an Israeli linked to wild birds suggest the H5N1 infections are throughout
Europe and the Middle East, but countries continue to cite negative test
results on large numbers of birds.
-
- Although there are many potential reasons for false negatives,
the lack of detection and reporting H5N1 in the region is cause for concern.
-
- New outbreaks are now being reported in the Volga and
Danube Deltas and the comments above suggest the H5N1 may have evolved
into a more virulent form via incubation in the domestic poultry.
-
- Timely and accurate reporting of H5N1 in Europe and the
Middle East would be useful.
-
- c.2005 All Rights Reserved
- http://www.recombinomics.com/News/12030503/H5N1_False_Europe_ME.html
-
-
- Comment
- Patricia Doyle, PhD
- 12-4-5
-
- Here is WHY H5N1 has been spreading uncontrolably: Farmers
are hiding infections! Moved by the thought of economic disaster for farms
that become infected, farmers are simply hding infections and not reporting
dead birds.
-
- As long as the trend continues we can expect to hear
of continued outbreaks and continued spread. Migratory birds spread infections.
HOWEVER, migratory birds continue to have contact with poultry and farmed
birds. So we have a cycle. Migratory birds infect farmed birds, waterfowl
and poultry. Framed birds, waterfowl and poultry maintain infections because
farmers refuse to admit to or control the virus. Migratory birds again
come into contact with farmed birds and migratory birds pick up infections
and the cycle continues. Adequate definition as to what is happening and
why H5N1 continues?
-
- Why infections continue...from Dr. Niman's commentary:
-
- "The above comments suggest the H5N1 wild bird infections
have been present on farms in the Crimea peninsula for the past 6 weeks
without OIE notifications. Moreover, farmers have been improperly disposing
of the dead birds and allowing H5N1 to incubate on the farms, which may
have generated a more virulent version of H5N1."
-
- If the same system follows bird migrations into Africa
and Africa farmers refuse to acknowledge cases, we will see the same continuance
of virus infections.
-
- The longer this goes on, the more chance we have of developing
a human pandemic strain. Simple as that.
-
- Patricia A. Doyle, DVM, PhD Bus Admin, Tropical Agriculture
Economics
- Please visit my "Emerging Diseases" message
board at:
-
- http://www.clickitnews.com/ubbthreads/postlist.php?
- Cat=&Board=emergingdiseases
-
- Zhan le Devlesa tai sastimasa
- Go with God and in Good Health
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