- Per chance, you thought there wasn't some method in the
madness going on in Iraq, think again. What has never been discussed in
the "news" are long range plans made for the region before the
threat of weapons of mass destruction, then it was instilling democracy,
and now its morphed into us coming against the nest of insurgent and terroristsbefore
they arrive here in hordes from this desert land and kill us!
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- Stratfor is one of the most respected geopolitical intelligence
services in the world. Statfor's high-level sources (2002) tell them that
one of the leading long-term strategies being considered by U.S. war planner
is one that will divide Iraq into three separate regions. Under this plan
Iraq would cease to exist.
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- The central and largest part of Iraq that is populated
by the Sunni Arabs would be joined with JORDEAN to from on "United
Hashemite Kingdom", which would be ruled by Jordan's King Abdullah.
This area would include Baghdad, which would NO longer be the capital.
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- The Kurdish region of northern and northwestern Iraq,
including Mosul and the vast Kirkuk oilfields (remember this is about OIL)
would become its own autonomous state.
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- The Shia Region in southwestern Iraq, including Basra,
would make up the third state, or more likely it would be joined with Kuwait.
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- Stratfor's sources indicate that the plan to divide (and
thus eliminate) Iraq as described above is not the only plan under consideration,
and it is also not finalized. Stratfor says that such a plan reportedly
was discussed at an unusual meeting between Crown Prince Hassan of Jordarn
and pre-US Iraqi Sunni opposition member's in London in July (02). Further,
they say that in September, the Israeli newspaper, Yedioth Ahrcnoth, stated
that the US goal in Iraq was to create a United Hashemite Kingdom that
would encompass Jordan and Iraq's Sunni areas. Also, Israeli terrorism
expert Ehud Sprinzak recently echoed this sentiment on Russian television
on Sept. 24.
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- So whose idea is this? According to Stratfor, Sprinzak
stated that the authors of the 'Hashemite' plan are Vice President Cheney
and Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz.
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- Why Such A Plan Might Make Sense
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- As noted above, the Bush administration may be considering
the proposal because the current goal of replacing Saddam Hussein with
a pro-US Iraqi government still would not guarantee long term democratic
stability over the territory and its oil! It may become too hard for a
new government in Baghdad to effectively control the whole country (today
2005 proves this jm), even with US troop support. An example is Afghanistan,
in which the government of President Harmid Karzai controls ONLY the capital
(and he, guarded round the clock with dozens of special forces jm). Stratfor
offers the following analysis:
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- "The new government's attempts to establish control
ovr all of Iraq may well lead to a civil war between Suni, Shia and Kurdish
ethnic groups, with US troops caught in the middle. The fiercest fighting
could be expected for control over the oil facilities. But uniting Jordan
and Iraq under a Hashemite government may give Washington several strategic
advantages."
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- "Abdullah (King of Jordan) would shift the balance
of forces in the region heavily in the US favor. After eliminating Iraq
as a soverign state, here would be no fear that on day an anti-American
government would come to power in Baghdad, as the capital would be in Amman
(Jordan). Current and potential US geopolitical foes Iran, Saudi Arabia
and Syria would be isolated from each other, with big chunks of land between
them under control of the pro-US forces."
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- "Equally important Washington would be able to justify
its long-term and heavy military presence in the region as necessary for
the DEFENSE of a young new state asking for US PROTECTION---and to secure
the stability of oil markets and supplies. That in turn would help the
U.S. gain direct control of Iraqi oil and replace Saudi oil in case of
conflict with Riyadh."
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- According to Stratfor's souces and the Israeli media,
the richest oil areas would go not to the Hashemite kingdom but to the
autonomous Kurdish region in the north. Note: plans are to restore the
old pipeline in this region going to Israel (if it's not already happening)
- JM
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- To make sure the new Kurdish state is not seen as a threat
to Turkey, our ally, the US would deploy armed forces and build new military
bases in the area, not only to prevent any hostilities along the border,
but also to insure the free flow of oil from this area. As a part of this
plan it is believed that the Bush administration would also negotiate new
deals to build US military bases in the Hashemite kingdom (while ours in
the U.S. are closing jm) and in the Shia Region to the south. This would
be a huge development in the War on Terror. With US military bases in the
three new states, the US would be in an ideal position shout it choose
in the future to go after Iran, Saudi Arabia or other states in the region
that are supporting terrorism. With Iraq divided as described above, with
US aid and military assistance and not to mention huge oil revenues going
into government coffers -- this region could become very prosperous very
quickly.
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- Benefits for Israel and Jordan
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- Stratfor suggests that the division of Iraq, as described
above, will reap big benefits for both Israel and Jordan. Iraq, arguably
Israel's most determined enemy, would be eliminated. The end of Saddam's
regime would also deprive the Palestinians of much financial and other
assistance which could reduce the effectiveness of their attacks against
the Jewish state.
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- King Abdullah of Jordan would vastly expand his role
and prominence in the region with a joint Hashemite state, becoming the
second most important US ally in the region after Israel. In addition to
his huge territorial gains, he also would get a chunk of Iraqi oil. And
Palestinians, who currently make up half of Jordan's population, would
become a minority in the new state, with much less potential to stir up
trouble.
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- Stratfor is quick to admit that the division above may
not be the final strategy. The plan may not be free of negative consequences
for Washington, however. Iraq's Shia majority---whose anti-Hussein opposition
seems currently divided between the U.S and Iran---probably would not agree
to become a part of the new kingdom. Iran may interfere by urging Iraqi
Shias to join with Tehran. Washington might counter by agreeing to attach
the Shia Iraqi region to Kuwait, Israeli media speculates. Turkey, despite
a U.S. military presence in Kurdish areas, still might have reservations
about the plan. Finally, it is unclear how Sunni tribal and other leaders
inside Iraq might react. (Note: I think we can all imagine -- especially
under the guise of WMD -- and then democracy one, s country is being divided
up in chunks"with the oil the biggest prize. --JM
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- Assuming (remember this was written in 2002) Saddam's
regime is toppled, it will still be very difficult, if not impossible for
any one faction to control the entire country. If the plan includes provisions
for permanent US military facilities in the new states, that will make
the prosecution of the War On Terror much easier. Some will argue that
we are setting ourselves up for another Vietnam-like conflice that could
last many years (Rumsfeld said 12 years this week). And there will be plenty
of other negatives voiced if this plant is actually adopted. Yet in the
end, some type of plan that splits Iraq and eliminates Baghdad as the capital
may be the best long term solution, as Stratfor suggests.
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- Note: In all this dividing up of the spoils - never once
were the deaths of thousands mentioned, the destruction of the cradle of
civilization, the tens of thousands blinded, and maimed the Iraqi people
decimated...just oil. What should enrage people are these color coded fear
days - and listening to this continual BS about voting, 'democracy', 'the
sacrifice is worth it', writing a constitution, ad vomit.
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- All of this is comic book - cartoon land theater for
these mutants having their own 'war of the worlds' with other people's
kids/husbands/mothers/brothers/sisters/fathers. The bastards don't care
what hogwash they feed the masses with these performances----GWB ('God
Bless the Mark' a Newfie saying) most likely believes the script he's reading.
--JM
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