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Frankfurt Rumour Pushes
Euro To New High Vs Dollar

Mark Milner and Larry Elliott
The Guardian - UK
12-18-3


The foreign exchanges were thrown into fresh turmoil last night after a report that the European Central Bank had set a $1.35 intervention level pushed the euro to new highs against the dollar.
 
After another battering, the dollar finished the day at more than $1.24 to the euro for the first time, while the Bank of England's hawkish noises about UK interest rates helped to propel the pound to an 11-year high.
 
The ECB refused to comment on a news agency report that it would not step in to halt the euro's rise until it hit $1.35 or unless the decline in the dollar became a disorderly rout.
 
A spokesman said: "We don't comment on market rumours."
 
Foreign exchange dealers said the report, sourced to an ECB official, had been enough to prompt a fresh downward move in the dollar against all major currencies.
 
"Things were relatively quiet this morning until this story came out suggesting from ECB sources that they did not see the need for any intervention unless the euro got to $1.35 - and of course, whenever you put a number out there the markets get very excited," said Robert Sinche, global head of currency strategy at Citibank in New York.
 
Analysts at Dutch bank ING said that if the report were true it risked "triggering a disorderly rise in the euro as traders are presented with a one-way bet. Even leaving aside the ECB's complacency about the economic damage caused by the euro's appreciation ... this story seems to betray a startling complacency about the behaviour of the financial markets".
 
Sterling extended its recent gains against the dollar, closing just above $1.76, its highest since October 1992. In addition to the sustained selling pressure on the dollar, the pound was boosted by the minutes of the meeting of the Bank's monetary policy committee this month, which showed a bias towards higher interest rates. One of the members, Sir Andrew Large, voted for an immediate quarter-point increase to 4%.
 
The minutes said most MPC members preferred to wait and see how the rise in borrowing costs to 3.75% affected the economy. "If the economy continued to evolve in line with the committee's central projections, a further increase would be warranted at some point. But the news was not yet sufficient to justify another increase."
 
 
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/story/0,3604,1109262,00.html
 
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