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Israeli Intel - Arafat's Exile
Would Not End War
SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
11-14-2

JERUSALEM - Israel's domestic intelligence agency has concluded that Yasser Arafat can maintain his authority on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip even if he is expelled.
 
"The security establishment has concluded that we not do this [expel Arafat]," Prime Minister Ariel Sharon said.
 
The assessment was said to represent the consensus of Israel's intelligence community, Middle East Newsline reported.
 
Foreign Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has promised to exile Arafat if he is the next prime minister.
 
National Security Agency director Avi Dichter told a Cabinet panel on Wednesday that Arafat can continue the Palestinian insurgency war from exile abroad. He and other intelligence chiefs were said to have opposed any Israeli expulsion of Arafat.
 
They said Arafat's international stature would soar and Israel would be under great pressure to return him to the PA areas. Dichter's assessment was disputed by Foreign Minister Binyamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu said Arafat's exile would lead to the erosion of the infrastructure of Palestinian insurgency groups.
 
Although they oppose Arafat's ouster, Israeli intelligence chiefs said that the continued rule of the PA chief will prevent any Israeli-Palestinian agreement. They said Arafat prefers the current war to a compromise solution with Israel.
 
For their part, Palestinians said they expect Sharon to expel Arafat during any U.S.-led war against Iraq. Fatah leader Hussein Al Sheik, responsible for the West Bank, said Israel's government will destroy the PA and exile Arafat.
 
Sharon has not ruled out the eventual expulsion of Arafat. He said in an interview on Israeli television that he relayed a pledge to the United States not "to harm Arafat physically."
 
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