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US Manufacturing Flat,
Outlook Grim

By Eric Burroughs
9-3-2

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. manufacturing barely grew in August after a sharp setback a month earlier, a report said on Tuesday, stoking worries that the economy's already weak recovery may stagnate in coming months.
 
The Institute for Supply Management said its closely watched index of factory business conditions was unchanged in August at 50.5, posting a seventh month of growth but coming in below expectations for a rise to 51.6.
 
Any reading above 50 signals growth, while one below 50 indicates contraction in a sector that makes up roughly one-sixth of the U.S. economy.
 
In what ISM said was a cause for concern for manufacturers the rest of the year, the new orders index fell in August to 49.7 after having tumbled more than 10 points in July to 50.4. That showed new orders, a key source of future growth, declining for the first time since last November.
 
Only eight of 20 industries posted growth on the month, ISM said.
 
"It's not making anyone happy about the economy," said Cary Leahey, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank Securities.
 
U.S. stocks extended early losses on the report, with the Dow Jones industrial average losing more than 3 percent. Safe-haven U.S. Treasuries rallied, pushing yields on benchmark 10-year notes close to four-decade lows below 4 percent.
 
After boosting production earlier in the year to replenish depleted inventories, factories have gradually scaled back output and have proven reluctant to hire new workers with the outlook for demand in doubt.
 
Norbert Ore, chair of the ISM business survey committee, said that another month showing new orders close to the unchanged level would "indicate real softness in the balance of the second half." But Ore said the August survey did not suggest a coming contraction in manufacturing.
 
Layoffs continued at factories, extending a trend seen since mid-2000 even as the employment index edged up to 45.8 in August from 45.0 in July.
 
But in a sign that the recent run-up in prices may be abating, the prices paid index fell sharply in August to 61.5 from 68.3 a month earlier.
 
Tempe, Ariz.-based ISM bases its manufacturing index on data provided monthly by purchasing executives at over 350 industrial companies and reflects changes in the current month compared with the previous month.
 
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