Inadvertent Nuclear War -
The India/Pakistan Armageddon
By John Greenewald, Jr.

NORTHRIDGE (BlackVault) - "Senior U.S. officials have expressed serious concern regarding the threat of an accidental nuclear conflict during recent Indo-Pakistani crisis" says a newly released document obtained by The Black Vault website. As tensions are arising between these two countries, this report created in March of 2001 shows the true meaning of why the words "accidental" and "Nuclear" should never go together.
Since Pakistan and India have entered the Nuclear age just in the past few years, an even greater threat to not only those two countries who are willing to launch, but also the world as a whole from the fallout and carelessness involved. In this threat, is an accidental possibility of that nuclear Armageddon, a possibility of an attack sparked against only a fear of another nuclear launch, not necessarily that the other country actually fired on the other.
According to Matthew Gurgel, author of "The Threat of Inadvertent Nuclear War in South Asia", says that this type of nuclear war can be brought on by the theft of a nuclear weapon, an electric or mechanical malfunction which may result in an accidental launch, or a plethora of other reasons all support the phenomenon of an accidental nuclear war.
The document also goes on to support the inadvertent nuclear war scenario, but even more scary is the fact this was created nearly a year before tensions between Pakistan and India grew harshly on the Kashmir border, heavily disputed territory claimed by both countries. Tensions between the countries rise each day, as troops on both sides are preparing for battle.
Nuclear war seemed unthinkable in these past few years, as the threat of biological war seemed imminent through the gulf war, and now the war in Afghanistan. Yet, with these newly inducted members of the nuclear power's club, the threat of a nuclear conflict seems more real then ever.
Do not prepare for the nuclear fallout just yet, there are specific conditions that would theoretically have to be met, according to Gurgel in this document available online. Number one factor is the belief that a total nuclear exchange in inevitable. Secondly, the perception that there is a significant advantage to striking first. These are dangerous factors when working with countries so close. The response time for countries half way across the world is greater to allow some type of a thinking response. Yet the India / Pakistan crisis, dealing with countries so close, the thinking time goes down to merely seconds, which could also meet one of the factors for these accidental war, the inadvertent launch on the growing tensions behind the war. A miniscule thought that the other country COULD have launched, could spark the button being pressed.
Time will tell to this conflict we have on our hands. Overshadowed in the U.S. media, the War in Afghanistan is the top story, and the very rare mention of nuclear holocaust possibilities are told to the audience.
The Document: "The Threat of Inadvertent Nuclear War in South Asia" is located at -

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