In the wake of the Sandy
disaster, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and former Vice President Al
Gore stated that the massive flooding across the eastern states was caused
by global warming. There is a slight problem with this widely publicized
claim. The national weather records gathered over the past 130 years show
no correlation between higher average temperatures and stronger hurricanes.
Nor did Sandy, despite its path of destruction and resulting hardship,
come close to making the list of America’s greatest storms.
The misdirection from the New York mayor’s office, however, did
divert media scrutiny and public concern from more urgent issues,
including the inherent risks of zoning residential developments on
low-lying beachfronts and estuaries, a general lack of community
evacuation drills and emergency back-up systems, and the
unreliability of radiation-release data from several nuclear power
plants hit with flood damage.
Passing a Fable as Fact
Average mean temperatures worldwide are gradually rising, according
to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). “The
average combined global land and ocean surface temperature for
September 2012 tied with 2005 as the warmest September on record, at
0.67°C (1.21°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C
(59.0°F).”
The easy logic and erroneous rush to judgment - is that global
warming caused the destruction wrought by Sandy. More than a century
of weather records, however, reveal no parallel rise in hurricane
strength, as measured by wind speeds, drop in barometric pressure
and dimensions of the storm front. Not a single storm in the past 23
years made the Top Ten lists of most powerful U.S. hurricanes.
Hugo 1989, which came in tenth place, was the most recent of the big
blasters.
The strongest storms since 1880, when national data was first
collected, were the three Category 5 hurricanes, in descending
order: Labor Day 1935, Camille 1969 and Andrew 1992. Repeat{
the Depression-era hurricane was more powerful than anything since.
Among the worst “people-killer” storms, Katrina with its 1,200
fatalities is the only storm in recent times to make the Deadliest
Top 10, which is led by Galveston 1900 (8,000 dead) and Lake
Okeechobee 1912 (2,000). In contrast, Sandy’s death toll was
double-digit. (This is not to diminish the human tragedy, but only
to get the facts straight.) For all the media hype about the
“Frankenstorm,” Sandy didn’t even rate as a hurricane when it made
landfall on the Delaware shore. It can be safely concluded there is
no cause-and-effect relationship between climate change and
hurricane strength. Bloomberg and Gore got it all wrong.
Riders on a Storm
Compared with any decade before or since, the 1960s experienced the
largest number of intense hurricanes, led by Category 4 Camille,
Donna and Carla. The storm activity over those 10 years provided a
clue as to what force actually increases hurricane strength. The
tendency of climate scientists to focus on the mechanics of heat
energy has led many of them to overlook the role of electromagnetism
in forming hurricanes and tornadoes along with cyclones in the
Southern Hemisphere
Storm clouds consist not only of evaporated water, but are also a
mix of salts, organic molecules and microorganisms. Metal particles,
in the form of dust or ionized salt, are especially active in the
condensation of droplets, as shown in the use of silver compounds in
seeding clouds to make rain. Under purely natural conditions of the
prehistoric past, metal was ejected into the atmosphere by
volcanoes, transported in evaporation from the ocean’s surface or by
the vaporization of a meteorites. Human activity over the past
century has vastly increased the concentration of airborne metals.
How was metal airlifted into the atmosphere during the peak
hurricane decade of the1960s? World production of steel and copper
soared after World War II, resulting in vast amounts of metal dust
being ejected into the atmosphere from the blast furnaces of steel
mills, copper smelters and coking plants (unfiltered coal smoke
contains metals). The growing number of cars also spewed out
metallic emissions along with greenhouse gases. Then from the
late 1950s, atmospheric nuclear test blasts shot particles of
high-energy uranium, plutonium and beryllium into the skies.
Metal particles inside water droplets act as a catalyst for
stripping electrons from the Earth’s surface and promoting the
spiraling updraft that eventually becomes the hurricane vortex. Air
pollution containing metallic impurities is therefore far more
likely to increase hurricane strength than any slight increase in
global temperature.
Playful Zephyrs, Deadly Dervishes
The gusts of hot air blowing out of the mayor’s office do not change
the meteorological fact that Sandy was nowhere near being the
greatest storm ever, even though it caused havoc in and around the
Big Apple. The weather data from more than a century of readings
shows that his comments were fictitious and completely out of order.
The mayor's pontifical certainty about climate change as the source
of all evil in our times can be taken as an endorsement for the
nuclear industry, which has the chutzpah to present itself as a
provider of "green-energy".. Back in the real world, the storm surge
bolstered by high tides awoke Americans to the possibility of a
meltdown similar to the catastrophe at Fukushima. Throughout the
Sandy crisis, the mayor has been noticeably silent on the storm
damage at six nuclear plants along the East Coast, including
shutdowns at Entergy’s Indian Point and Exelon’s Oyster Creek in New
York State. If the nuclear industry’s track record and government
complicity in past cover-ups provide any indication, then New
Yorkers had better start purchasing dosimeters to collect more
reliable data on their own.
Instead of casting blame on this or that demon, we have ourselves to
blame for not heeding the advice of the carpenter who urged everyone
to build our homes on rock instead of sand. Hurricanes are not evil
conjurations. They just happen and man gets in the way.
As seen though a telescope on the surface of gas planet Jupiter, the
procession of swirling dervishes parallel to its equator is one of
the masterpieces of Nature’s art. In the transparent skies of Earth,
the ceaseless ballet of the wind becomes visible only as hurricanes
and tornadoes, dancing in sync with our home sphere’s rotation and
orbit. Terrifying, awesome, restless, ephemeral and in serene
moments beautiful, these great storms demonstrate our species’ puny
capabilities, even when belligerently amplified by nuclear power and
all those technical gizmos, against the grandeur of the Cosmos.
Yoichi Shimatsu, a science and environment writer based in Hong
Kong, is former editor of The Japan Times weekly edition, who is
active in promoting herbal therapy against radiation in Fukushima.
His team of volunteer environmentalists over the past five years
have sequestered carbon dioxide as charcoal with self-built kilns in
northern Thailand and the western Gobi Desert. |