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Good Week For Bibi, A Bad One For Barky
From MEC Analytical Group
5-30-11
 
We circulate below an assessment of the outlook for Palestine published on the Jadaliyya website which is associated with the Arab Studies Journal of Georgetown University.by Rashid Khalidi, professor at Columbia University whose friendship with Barack Obama became an issue in the 2008 election campaign...
 
A Good Week For Bibi, A Bad Week For Barack, An Opportunity For The Palestinians
 
May 26, 2011
 
The past week in Washington was an extraordinary one. It witnessed an American president give two speeches in which he offered further concessions to Benjamin Netanyahu, the leader of a country that is a client of the United States. Netanyahu challenged the President from the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue, effectively seeking and receiving Congress's stamp of approval on his strikingly extreme positions. This end-run around the US Executive Branch followed an invitation from the head of the Republican congressional opposition to speak to a joint session of Congress. This invitation itself was in defiance of American constitutional principles and the hallowed convention that politics stops at the water's edge. The world looked on as this foreign leader got at least twenty-six standing ovations during a hard-line speech that ruled out either the prospect of a serious negotiation, or of anything approaching a sovereign Palestinian state. Given the trend of Arab and Palestinian politics lately, negotiations on American-Israeli terms were in any case unlikely.
 
After the first of the President's speeches, Netanyahu insulted him before he even got to Washington, telling reporters on his plane that Obama did not understand the Middle East. He then disagreed publicly with his host during their joint remarks after their meeting ­ looking at the President rather than at the press much of the time as he hectored the leader of the most powerful country on earth. Finally, in his speech to Congress, the Israeli leader hit every moss-covered Zionist propaganda point since the 1897 Basel Congress, and laid out positions on all the key issues so uncompromising as to make negotiations pointless.
 
What had Barack Obama done to deserve this treatment? He had already capitulated to Netanyahu's refusal to stop building settlements in the occupied territories after two years when this was a central element, if not the lynchpin, of his Middle East policy. The word "settlement" did not pass the President's lips during this entire embarrassing week. Moreover, in his State Department speech before Netanyahu's arrival, Obama accepted a whole slew of Israeli positions. These included the usual outrageous and elastic Israeli demands in the name of security; the need for Palestinian acceptance of Israel as a Jewish state; rejection of the recent inter-Palestinian reconciliation; and deferral of negotiations over refugees and Jerusalem ­ the two issues of paramount importance to the Palestinians ­ into the indefinite future (after twenty years of deferral since Madrid).
 
Beyond this, the President reiterated his objection to the "de-legitimization" of Israel. This lexical turn signifies the Obama administration's adoption of the term, coined by the Israeli far right and their neo-conservative American lawyer friends. This "de-legitimization" would take place via the Palestinians bringing the issue of Palestinian statehood before the UN in September. In his second speech, before the 10,000 people AIPAC had brought to Washington to hear Netanyahu, the President insisted that a Palestinian state must come into being as a result of negotiations, not a UN resolution. The President's speech-writers and advisors apparently failed to recall, or conveniently forgot, that the state of Israel came into being not as a result of negotiations with the Palestinians, but as a consequence of a 1947 General Assembly resolution, 181.
 
However, in the State Department speech, in an attempt to anticipate Netanyahu's attack on his policies on his own turf, the President had the temerity to repeat a position taken by every one of his predecessors since Lyndon Johnson. This was that the United States considers the 1967 lines (with "land swaps") the basis for a settlement, as per Security Council resolution 242 of November 1967. In Israel and on Capitol Hill this was considered an occasion for ritual outrage because Obama failed to mention explicitly George W. Bush's crucial concession to Israel's ceaseless building of illegal settlements in the occupied territories. This came in a letter to Ariel Sharon in 2004 in which Bush wrote: "In light of new realities on the ground, including already existing major Israeli population centers, it is unrealistic to expect that the outcome of final status negotiations will be a full and complete return to the armistice lines of 1949." 
 
After he had aroused Netanyahu's fury in his State Department speech, speaking to AIPAC the President's reprised Bush's crucial capitulation to the Israeli position, albeit in a slightly less fulsome form, referring simply to "new demographic realities on the ground." Having already accepted that the Palestinians must recognize Israel as a Jewish state in the first speech (a demand that originated with Netanyahu, and had never before been made by Israeli negotiators), in the second Obama implicitly accepted another new Israeli demand, made explicit in Netanyahu's own speech, for a permanent Israeli military presence along the Jordan River Valley.
 
The first is the demand not for Palestinian recognition of Israel, which has already taken place, but of Israel as a Jewish state, rather than as the state of all its citizens. This means that the 1.4 million Palestinians living inside Israel must remain second-class citizens and that Palestinians must renounce their conviction that all of Palestine is their homeland. Netanyahu's demand for control of the Jordan River valley "and other places of critical strategic and national importance" in the West Bank means in effect that a Palestinian state will be no more sovereign and no more of a "state" than a Bantustan, with Israel controlling its key border and dominating it exactly as it does the occupied territories today.
 
There was much else in Netanyahu's speech: all of Eretz Israel is "the Jewish homeland," including "Judea and Samaria [where] the Jewish people are not foreign occupiers." However, the truncated statelet that Israel may eventually deign to grant the Palestinians in perhaps a fifth of the country is all the Palestinians get as a "homeland." There is to be no return of refugees to Israel. Jerusalem will never be divided and will remain the united capital of Israel. It was the speech of a man who has no intention of negotiating anything with the Palestinians, and seeks to guarantee that he will not have to, by setting out a position that would keep even a Palestinian Quisling away from the negotiating table.
 
While this was not a good week for Barack Obama, and was a very good one for Binyamin Netanyahu, it also can be a salutary occasion for Palestinians and Arabs. It should finally cure those still infected with the diseased notion that they have anything to gain by bending to the importuning of American diplomacy. It should alleviate any doubt that there is any reason to avoid seeking entirely new means to achieve Palestinian national aims. Justice and liberation for the Palestinians, and peace for the entire region, will not come from following the course of the last two decades: exclusive reliance on the United States. If this week in Washington did not make that crystal clear to even the most deluded Palestinian, presumably nothing will.
 
So there is no point, if ever there was, in waiting for Godot to appear in DC. What is to be done is another, harder question. An optimist would say that the organized, shrewd, massive non-violent methods that have played a central role in the Arab revolutionary upsurge of the past six months have provided an object lesson for Palestinians. Hopefully, this will be a lesson especially to those who have relied on futile, self-defeating and indiscriminate violence largely directed against civilians. However, a pessimist would say that the desperate struggle that Arab revolutionaries are waging in the face of armed reaction in Libya, Yemen, Bahrain and Syria have dimmed that lesson.
 
The fact that Israel's leaders have been carefully watching events unfold in its neighborhood, and specifically these new methods of mass mobilization, is evident in their vicious reaction to the Nakba Day marches on May 15. The targeting of unarmed demonstrators with sniper fire may have been meant to teach a lesson to anyone who would try to march peacefully on Israel's borders in the future. And that lesson was intentionally painful. Over fifteen unarmed protestors were murdered and scores wounded. In addition, what were most likely rounds intended to fragment upon impact were fired from a couple of dozen meters away (at which distance no trained soldier could possibly miss) at the backs of several fleeing protestors near Maroun al-Ras in Lebanon, intentionally causing horrific injuries.
 
Of course, this may just have been standard IDF operating procedure. A few days after these reactions to unarmed peaceful protest, the US Congress offered twenty-six standing ovations to a ringing speech asserting Israel's absolute right to "self-defense." It is little wonder that Israel's leaders long ago rightly concluded that with this kind of endorsement, they can get away with anything, even the intentional killing of unarmed young people, as they have been doing for so long. Some authoritarian Arab leaders who order their security forces to shoot unarmed protestors get similar indulgence from Washington, while others get sanctions or bombs.
 
Other means than mass protest, including diplomatic, popular, informational and other initiatives are possibilities for the Palestinians in this new Arab era. But a precondition for success in any strategy is that the Palestinian people take the lead away from the sclerotic, bankrupt and self-interested leaderships that have stifled them for so long on both sides of the Fateh-Hamas divide. The thus-far successful popular demand for the end to petty, self-destructive, partisan inter-Palestinian divisions, together with the May 15 popular marches, may be long-awaited indications that Palestinians have in fact started in this direction.
 
MEC Analytical Group
 
26 May 2011
 
Israel and Palestine
 
Since President Obama's Middle East speech on 19 May the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has visited Washington. At a press conference after the two met on 20 May (http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/05/20/remarks-president
-obama-and-prime-minister-netanyahu-israel-after-bilate ) Obama referred to "some differences between us" on Palestine, and Netanyahu " publicly lectured " the President as the LA Times put it, notably insisting that negotiations could not go back to the 1967 borders.
 
There were two more set-piece occasions, speeches at the AIPAC conference by the President on 22 May (text at http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/05/22/
remarks-president-aipac-policy-conference-2011 ), and by the Prime Minister on 24 May (text at http://www.imra.org.il/story.php3?id=52539  ).
 
In a positive assessment Jeremy Ben-Ami, President of J Street, wrote on 25 May:
 
"With the dust still settling and the instant analysis flowing, one thing is clear to us: the President of the United States laid out in succinct and compelling terms some fundamental truths to which we subscribe:
 
        One, the bond between the United States and Israel is unbreakable and the US commitment to Israel's security iron-clad. The relationship between our countries is so strong because it is rooted in both common values and common interests.
 
        Two, achieving peace is "more urgent than ever" and the dream that we as Israel's supporters hold so dear of a secure Israel that is both Jewish and democratic cannot be fulfilled with permanent occupation.
 
        Three, a lasting peace will involve two states for two peoples ­ each enjoying self-determination, mutual recognition and peace and that "the basis for negotiations has to hold out the prospect of success."
 
        Four, the best place to start toward an agreement that ends the conflict and all claims is by agreeing to certain principles. These are: that the borders between the states will be "based on the 1967 lines with mutually agreed swaps," security provisions must "be robust enough to prevent a resurgence of terrorism, to stop the infiltration of weapons, and to provide effective border security," and a "full and phased withdrawal of Israeli military forces, a sovereign non-militarized Palestinian state, with a transition period to be agreed."
 
He added that "A state of Israel without a state for the Palestinian people next to it means an Israel that must choose between being democratic and being the national home of the Jewish people. This is a choice we must help Israel avoid having to make."
 
Some Israeli comment was favourable. Nahum Barnea wrote in the Israeli Yedioth Ahronoth on 25 May:
 
"In front of a crowded hall, filled with enthusiastic Members of Congress, Netanyahu was at his best. He spoke to the senior figures of American politics in their own language. The values were their values, the phrases were part of their world. ..Netanyahu loves America. All Israelis love America, but he knows how to express his love better than anyone. And the Members of Congress love Israel: Particularly Israel as it comes out of his mouth-so American, so similar to the places from which they came or the faith upon which they were raised. ..When Golda Meir saw Begin and Sadat appearing together, she said: 'They may not deserve a Nobel Prize, but they certainly deserve an Academy Award.' Netanyahu received his Academy Award yesterday."
 
Most comment however, particularly in the region, has been negative. We are for example grateful to Professor Alon Ben Meir for a comment on 23 May which concludes:
 
"The President's speech was one of the most pro-Israel speeches ever delivered by any sitting US president. Netanyahu's reaction to it was both divisive and counterproductive. It is time for the Israeli public to rise against such hypocrisy and disdain to demand accountability from a government that has led the country astray from Day One. Thanks to Netanyahu's government, no one can say that Israel is better off today than it was two years ago. It is time to put an end to the illusion that Israel will be more secure by further territorial entrenchment in the West Bank."
 
An editorial in the New York Jewish Daily Forward of 25 May concludes "Most of us hoped that Netanyahu would have given a courageous, creative speech to move the process forward, safeguarding Israel's security as he must, but also recognizing the cogent, entirely reasonable requests from the President of the United States. You are making us choose, Mr. Prime Minister. Please don't."
 
Akiva Eldar, chief political columnist of Ha'aretz, wrote on 25 May:
 
"Netanyahu's peace plan, if that is the right phrase for the collection of unrealistic terms he presented to Congress on Tuesday, leads straight to the burial of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, an international crisis and a UN declaration of a Palestinian state. In a bad scenario, these terms suggest that Netanyahu is ignorant of proposals placed before the Palestinians more than a decade ago. In an even worse scenario, the "far-reaching compromise" he describes proves that his relationship with the settlers and his partners on the extreme right (if not his own ideology ) is more important in Netanyahu's view than the strategic interests of Israel or the existence of a Jewish democratic state. ..
 
The key has now moved even deeper into U.S. President Barack Obama's pocket. Netanyahu the American hero essentially declared yesterday that he was challenging the American president. Obama will have to decide, and soon, whether he will pick up the gauntlet and send Netanyahu a bill for his refusal to accept the principle without which no speech on Israeli-Palestinian peace has any value: the establishment of a Palestinian state on the basis of the 1967 borders, with exchanges of territory that are mutually agreed upon, fair and realistic."
 
An editorial in the Saudi Arab News of 24 May:
 
"So here was another US president, apparently the most powerful man on the planet, standing before AIPAC like a schoolboy and repeatedly reaffirm America's "ironclad" commitment to the "security of Israel."...What do the Palestinians do now? They have no option but go ahead with their plan to seek a formal recognition and backing of their state by the world community when the UN General Assembly reconvenes in September. .. Indeed, with the winds of change blowing in the region and Israel increasingly isolated, there cannot be a better time to do so. This may be the only way to persuade Israel and its friends in Washington to play ball. It's time to stand up and be counted."
 
We circulate below a comment on Netanyahu at AIPAC by Uri Avnery published by Gush Shalom:
 
May 28, 2011
 
 
Bibi And The Yo-Yos
 
IT WAS all rather disgusting.
 
There they were, the members of the highest legislative bodies of the world's only superpower, flying up and down like so many yo-yos, applauding wildly, every few minutes or seconds, the most outrageous lies and distortions of Binyamin Netanyahu.
 
It was worse than the Syrian parliament during a speech by Bashar Assad, where anyone not applauding could find himself in prison. Or Stalin's Supreme Soviet, when showing less than sufficient respect could have meant death.
 
What the American Senators and Congressmen feared was a fate worse than death. Anyone remaining seated or not applauding wildly enough could have been caught on camera ­ and that amounts to political suicide. It was enough for one single congressman to rise and applaud, and all the others had to follow suit. Who would dare not to?
 
The sight of these hundreds of parliamentarians jumping up and clapping their hands, again and again and again and again, with the Leader graciously acknowledging with a movement of his hand, was reminiscent of other regimes. Only this time it was not the local dictator who compelled this adulation, but a foreign one.
 
The most depressing part of it was that there was not a single lawmaker ­ Republican or Democrat ­ who dared to resist. When I was a 9 year old boy in Germany, I dared to leave my right arm hanging by my side when all my schoolmates raised theirs in the Nazi salute and sang Hitler's anthem. Is there no one in Washington DC who has that simple courage? Is it really Washington IOT ­ Israel Occupied Territory ­ as the anti-Semites assert?
 
Many years ago I visited the Senate hall and was introduced to the leading Senators of the time. I was profoundly shocked. After being brought up in deep respect for the Senate of the United States, the country of Jefferson and Lincoln, I was faced with a bunch of pompous asses, many of them nincompoops who had not the slightest idea what they were talking about. I was told that it was their assistants who really understood matters.
 
 
 
SO WHAT did the great man say to this august body?
 
It was a finely crafted speech, using all the standard tricks of the trade ­ the dramatic pause, the raised finger, the little witticisms, the sentences repeated for effect. Not a great orator, by any means, no Winston Churchill, but good enough for this audience and this occasion.
 
But the message could be summed up in one word: No.
 
After their disastrous debacle in 1967, the leaders of the Arab world met in Khartoum and adopted the famous Three No's: NO recognition of Israel, No negotiation with Israel, NO peace with Israel. It was just what the Israeli leadership wanted. They could go happily about their business of entrenching the occupation and building settlements.
 
Now Netanyahu is having his Khartoum. NO return to the 1967 borders. NO Palestinian capital in East Jerusalem. NO to even a symbolic return of some refugees. NO military withdrawal from the Jordan River - meaning that the future Palestinian state would be completely surrounded by the Israeli armed forces. NO negotiation with a Palestinian government "supported" by Hamas, even if there are no Hamas members in the government itself. And so on ­ NO. NO. NO.
 
The aim is clearly to make sure that no Palestinian leader could even dream of entering negotiations, even in the unlikely event that he were ready to meet yet another condition: to recognize Israel as "the nation-state of the Jewish people" ­ which includes the dozens of Jewish Senators and Congressmen who were the first to jump up and down, up and down, like so many marionettes.
 
Netanyahu, along with his associates and political bedfellows, is determined to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state by all and any means. That did not start with the present government ­ it is an aim deeply embedded in Zionist ideology and practice. The founders of the movement set the course, David Ben-Gurion acted to implement it in 1948, in collusion with King Abdallah of Jordan. Netanyahu is just adding his bit.
 
"No Palestinian state" means: no peace, not now, not ever. Everything else is, as the Americans say, baloney. All the pious phrases about happiness for our children, prosperity for the Palestinians, peace with the entire Arab world, a bright future for all, are just that ­ pure baloney. At least some in the audience must have noticed that, even with all that jumping.
 
 
 
NETANYAHU SPAT in Obama's eye. The Republicans in the audience must have enjoyed that. Perhaps some Democrats too.
 
It can be assumed that Obama did not. So what will he do now?
 
There is a Jewish joke about a hungry pauper who entered an inn and demanded food. Otherwise, he threatened, he would do what his father did. The frightened innkeeper fed him, and in the end asked timidly: "But what did your father do?" Swallowing the last morsel, the man answered: "He went to sleep hungry."
 
There is a good chance that Obama will do the same. He will pretend that the spittle on his cheek is rainwater. His promise to prevent a UN General Assembly recognition of the State of Palestine deprived him of his main leverage over Netanyahu.
 
Somebody in Washington seems to be floating the idea of Obama coming to Jerusalem and addressing the Knesset. It would be direct retaliation ­ Obama talking with the Israeli public over the head of the Prime Minister, as Netanyahu has just addressed the American public over the head of the President.
 
It would be an exciting event. As a former Member of the Knesset, I would be invited. But I would not advise it. I proposed it a year ago. Today I would not.
 
The obvious precedent is Anwar Sadat's historic speech in the Knesset. But there is really no comparison. Egypt and Israel were still officially at war. Going to the capital of the enemy was without precedent, the more so only four years after a bloody battle. It was an act that shook Israel, eliminating in one stroke a whole set of mental patterns and opening the mind for new ones. Not one of us will ever forget the moment when the door of the airplane swung open and there he was, handsome and serene, the leader of the enemy.
 
Later, when I interviewed Sadat at his home, I told him: "I live on the main street of Tel Aviv. When you came out of that plane, I looked out of the window. Nothing moved in the street, except one cat ­ and it was probably looking for a television set."
 
A visit by Obama will be quite different. He will, of course, be received politely ­ without the obsessive jumping and clapping ­ though probably heckled by Knesset Members of the extreme Right. But that will be all.
 
Sadat's visit was a deed in itself. Not so a visit by Obama. He will not shake Israeli public opinion, unless he comes with a concrete plan of action ­ a detailed peace plan, with a detailed timetable, backed by a clear determination to see it through, whatever the political cost.
 
Another nice speech, however beautifully phrased, just will not do. After this week's deluge of speeches, we have had enough. Speeches can be important if they accompany actions, but they are no substitute for action. Churchill's speeches helped to shape history ­ but only because they reflected historic deeds. Without the Battle of Britain, without Normandy, without El Alamein, those speeches would have sounded ridiculous.
 
Now, with all the roads blocked, there remains only one path remains open: the recognition of the State of Palestine by the United Nations coupled with nonviolent mass action by the Palestinian people against the occupation. The Israeli peace forces will also play their part, because the fate of Israel depends on peace as much as the fate of Palestine.
 
Sure, the US will try to obstruct, and Congress will jump up and down, But the Israeli-Palestinian spring is on its way.
 
 
 
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