- 1. Crying Wolf
-
- So many people have circulated so many warnings of the
forthcoming US-Israeli attack on Iran that it is hard to ignore them. A
piece written by a few ex-spooks warning of a new round of war
is one of these messages. In our view, spooks, ex or not, are not the most
reliable people, and the CIA is not the best reference. However, this item
fits with the dire predictions of Fidel Castro. It fits with the recent
heating up of the Gaza and Lebanon borders. It fits with the relocation
of some American warships and accompanying Israeli U-boats to the shores
of Iran. Rumours of Israeli advance forces being placed in Azerbaijan and
even Saudi Arabia are used as supportive evidence. The Lobby's agents relentlessly
call for war. They blackmail America, saying: if Obama will not attack,
Netanyahu will, and the US will anyway be forced to fight. This is the
bottom line of Jeffrey Goldberg's long piece in the Atlantic magazine..
-
- On the other hand, we have heard the cry "wolf"
so many times from so many people that now we are perfectly blasé.
For quite a few years now, hardly a month has gone by without a serious
warning of an impending attack on Iran.
-
- Though these warnings are usually sounded by friends,
they do serve the enemy as well. They amount to psychological pressure
on Iran. For this reason alone I am ready to bet: there will be no attack
on Iran. Israel has never gone to war without its centre-left parties in
the government. So as long as Israeli government includes only right and
far-right parties, no war is foreseeable. It would be like driving without
insurance. (Ehud Barak's Labour Party is too weak to count. If Tsipi Livni
should join the government run for cover, but not until then.)
-
- I am amazed by the strong nerves of President Ahmadinejad:
a weaker person in his place might flinch and pre-empt the imminent attack.
He does not apparently he thinks that the jaw-jaw is not likely to
become war-war. This is also the view of the well-informed Egyptian newspaper
Al Ahram: The current escalation of US and Israeli sabre-rattling against
Iran is probably no more than that, writes Amani Maged.
-
- The main reason: there is no love lost between Obama
and Netanyahu. They do not trust one other. In Israel there is a hidden
fear that should Netanyahu follow Goldberg's advice, the US president will
not rush in to save and defend it. Obama certainly did not promise he would
help in case of Israeli aggression; and he has no knee-jerk instinct to
defend Tel Aviv come what may. 90% of Israeli Jews dislike him; he is hated
by right-wing American Jews "friends of Israel." A year
ago, after his Cairo speech, there was a universal feeling that Obama's
administration will not chop wood and draw water for Israel.
-
- Now this illusion of America's independence is gone.
Israelis are notorious for their "kiss and tell" indiscretion
("larutz lesaper lehevre", in Hebrew). A confidante of Netanyahu,
Ari Shavit, has told us that "the Israeli leader applied hidden pressure
to the American leader," which made him fall to his knees and beg
for mercy. The name of the "hidden pressure" could be a Jewish
billionaire from Chicago, one Lester Crown, who "made Obama"
and supposedly retains full control over his creature, or alternatively,
another Jewish Chicagoan named Marty Nesbitt. However, even if the US President
was forced by his Jewish benefactors to do a volte-face, he certainly bears
a grudge for this humiliating turn.
-
- The worst-case scenario as seen from Israel unrolls as
follows: Netanyahu mistakes the vague remarks of Obama for an iron-clad
promise, and launches an attack. Then Obama sits tight while Israel bleeds
under the Iranian response. Israelis remember that this was the US tactic
for dealing with Saddam Hussein: this best friend of America and recipient
of US military aid was led to believe that Washington would permit the
takeover of Kuwait.
-
- The most likely interpretation for all the sabre-rattling
is that Israelis plan yet another invasion of Lebanon, while hoping that
Iran will be scared into immobility by the threat of an all-out war. Like
all previous invasions of Lebanon, this would be a great crime and a huge
mistake, but hardly an apocalyptic event.
-
- Indeed, to all appearances it is a re-run of 2006, when
predictions of an American attack on Iran were also running high, but eventually
Bush got cold feet and the Israeli army was roundly defeated in the mountain
valleys of South Lebanon.
-
- 2. If It Comes
-
- However, if this optimistic prognosis goes the way of
some weather broadcasts, and instead of a sunny day with rainy spells we
get a full-blown storm, the whole fabric of the Middle East will unravel.
This juggernaut will be unstoppable. After Iran, Syria will fall. After
Syria, Saudi Arabia. It will be the classic domino game: Iran rejoiced
when Iraq fell. Saudis wish Iran to fall. Israel wants to break Saudi Arabia
to pieces, and then the rest of the Middle East. This is inscribed in their
Clean Break paper and its source, Oded Yinon's paper, which they follow
religiously.
-
- If Saudis have too poor a memory, let us remind them:
A few months after 9/11, Rand Corporation analyst Laurent Murawiec briefed
Richard Perle's Defence Policy Board, calling upon the US to break up Saudi
Arabia. Its oil fields should be targeted and its financial assets seized,
advised this neocon. I wrote back then, in an essay appropriately called
Take your Money and Run:
-
- "The riches of the Arabian Peninsula hoodwink the
Jews, being tantalisingly within the reach of IDF Merkaba tanks. They have
too many good reasons to undo Saudi Arabia.
-
- - Saudis
have too much money, too much oil and too few friends.
-
- - Elimination
of all Saudi financial assets will invigorate the flabby Dow Jones average
and strengthen the weakened dollar.
-
- - This
prosperous and well-armed country must be reduced before Israel takes its
most important step, the seizure and destruction of the beautiful Umayyad
Mosques in Jerusalem."
-
- With the destruction of Iran, the countdown for the takeover
of Saudi Arabia would begin. In the words of a neocon: "Everyone
wants to take out Tehran. But a real mensch wants to take out ar-Riyadh".
Provided that no attack on Iran is possible without Saudi connivance, the
"irony of history" will be complete. The enemies of Israel will
be taken out one after another, each with help of the next still unsuspecting
victim.
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- 3. The Second Shoe
-
- But an attack on Lebanon is not a sure thing, and that
will not be the end of the story, predicts one of the best experts, David
Hirst, an old Eastern hand and a brilliant British journalist, the like
of Robert Fisk and Patrick Seale. He had written arguably the best book
ever about Palestine/Israel called The Gun and the Olive Branch years ago,
and ever since then I have been waiting for this second book as one waits
for the second shoe to drop. Now he has delivered it and unravelled all
the mysteries of this extremely confusing country where alliances do not
last, and expectations come to nought.
-
- If you read one book a year, this year read Beware of
Small States by David Hirst, and you'll understand why Israeli invasions
of Lebanon always have been and always will be an unmitigated disaster
for all parties involved. Lebanon is small, but the advice of Bismarck,
"Do not ever invade it" (he meant Russia), is perfectly applicable
to it as well.
-
- Hirst predicts that the next, the Seventh Arab-Israeli
War, will begin like a second round of 2006 (by an Israeli attack on Lebanon),
but that this war will spread to Syria and Gaza. It will be a missile war,
like 2006 written large. Afterwards, it will likely spread over all of
the Middle East, until the Zionist aggression is repulsed.
-
- Hirst predicts: "a seemingly interminable [Israeli
Arab] conflict which began with the sword the sword will end, but
it may have to administer many a bloody and painful, yet inconclusive blow
before it finally does so".
-
- 4. Give Them War
-
- However small the chances for all-out war, we should
not sit by, wail and wait for the enemy to act. But fear of war is not
the best adviser. If they want war, give them war. Attack the chief warmonger,
and we know who that is. Name him 'the Lobby' with Mearsheimer, or the
'Zionist Power Configuration' with Petras, or 'Masters of Discourse' as
this writer or whatever. They are calling the shots, let them foot the
bill. For years there was a discussion whether the Dog (American imperialism)
wags the tail (Israel Lobby) or other way around. Now the debate is over.
"This is not a case of the Tail wagging the Dog," quipped Anatole
Lieven, "but of the Tail wagging the unfortunate Dog around the room
and banging its head against the ceiling".
-
- What is the secret of its success? It is alchemy, of
sorts. Not in vain did the Jews stand at the cradle of alchemy. However,
the alchemists of old tried to transmute base metals into gold. The modern
alchemists of the Lobby transmute the real gold of your labour into Fools
Gold and pay others with it. Instead of bubbling retorts and overflowing
alembics, they use shares, bonds, loans, mortgages, derivatives and other
instruments by which Goldman-Sachs and Madoff and hundreds of other banksters
rob you of your livelihood. This alchemy is nothing more than counterfeiting.
They borrow a hundred dollars from you, turn it into a hundred thousand
dollars debt and force the Treasury (staffed by their own guys) to repay
the debt in full at your expense.
-
- Deal with them, and you will save yourselves. As a bonus,
you'll save the world, too. It is them, not the Iranians or Iraqis, you
Americans should fight. The great American, Eugene Debs has said: "If
you are given weapons, do not use them against far-away strangers. Turn
them against your true enemy at home. Expropriate the expropriators, rob
the robbers."
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- 5. Alchemical Wedding
-
- The Alchemist's exploits do not end with transmuting
your labour into Fools Gold for others and real gold for himself. Miraculously
the Alchemist weds the most reactionary forces to the most enlightened
liberals in a mock-alchemical marriage. The real thing is a mystical union
of King and Queen, of Logos and Soul, of Masculine and Feminine. The Lobby's
version is a Fools wedding.
-
- Their King is the Lobby's new ally: the Tea-Party mob
of pseudo-right Republicans with an admixture of European fascists like
Geert Wilders. These men and women, united by their hatred of Islam, of
communists, of China and Russia, have recently sworn obedience to Israel
and supported an attack on Iran. This is a new Far Right that chooses to
make friends with Jews, just like Mussolini and Franco did.
-
- For the feminine soulful element, the wonderful alchemists
of the Lobby chose gender activists. Not the Queen, but a Drag Queen. They
are as destructive as fascists. Remember, the attack on Afghanistan was
preceded by a verbal barrage from the gender activists, as I wrote at the
time. They justified the forthcoming slaughter and occupation by saying
that "Afghani men mistreat their women and gays". The horrors
of burka were enlarged upon endlessly.
-
- It is repeated now. Here are three most recent headlines
on Iran from the Guardian, the best paper of the moderate Left:
-
- - Iranian
facing stoning speaks: 'It's because I'm a woman';
-
- - When
adultery means death,
-
- - Iran
set to execute 18-year-old on false charge of sodomy.
-
- It is a replay of the treatment they gave to the Soviet
communism. On the right, President Reagan wished to bomb Moscow; the pseudo-left
prepared the ground by condemning the Soviets for their lack of democracy
and treatment of dissidents and Jews. What a wonderful division of labour:
the pseudo Right calls to kill the Bolshies or the gooks, the false Left
(now gender activists) justifies the killing.
-
- Gender activists are not men and women with certain sexual
preferences. We do not care about people's private lives. Let it remain
private. Gender activists use gender as their key factor. It is not woman
but feminists. It is not practitioners of same-sex relations but gay-activists,
or Gay International of Joseph Massad.
-
- Why gender activism became so important in the war against
Islam (and with the Church)? Why this media-promoted obsession with gender
activism? This is not due to compassion. They are chosen and protected
because, by the brazenness of their actions, they mock the sanctity of
marriage in general, and ultimately that of archetypical sacred marriage,
of the union of Heaven and Earth in order to undermine the sacral fabric
of the world. They help to profane the world, to remove the last vestiges
of holiness, and that is the true ultimate goal of the Masters of Discourse.
-
- In the name of profanation the Judeo-Americans go to
fight the pious puritans of Persia and the warrior monks of Lebanon. For
them, Israel should remain the only island of holiness upon the profaned
earth. The Masters could overlook Iranian nuclear reactors, like they overlooked
the Pakistani bomb. It is the Iranian faith-based society, Iranians' belief
in God they can't tolerate. For such a society is impervious to the rot
they spread.
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- http://www.israelshamir.net/English/Fear_Not.htm
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