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Top 25 Derivative
Bank Nightmares
What Will Make The Fat Lady Sing?
By Walter Burien
8-18-7
 
Walter Burien reply to a forward from Wayne B --
 
Wayne - Now that you have put the Bank list of twenty-five out there with a "Sky is falling" connotation, here is a reality check for you:
 
Take a look at the same derivative figures right before a market crash or slide that has taken place over the last 20 years. Then look at the banks profit statements after the slide or crash takes place. (Significant increase)
 
The banks, (as well as Government Investment Portfolios) via derivatives will be holding the "Short" side at the top, and reverse to the "long" side at the bottom. This being done as the promoted chicken-little "The ski is falling" routine is promoted to the public as "the public looses their money in reaction to the promoted hype". They have done this for over 40 years.
 
Take a look at "reality" over a 35 year period and not promoted hype design to liquidate the minnows of their money. The promoted hype may be correct in the very short run, but the end result over a period of time is what's important.
 
Note: If the links below do not display the chart on the first try, hit refresh or the "Get Chart" on the lower part of the chart.
 
Dollar INDEX going back to 1985 to 2007:
 
 
http://futuresource.quote.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=DX&o=
&a=M&z=800x550&d=HIGH&b=LINE&st=
 
S&P 500 for the same:
 
 
http://futuresource.quote.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=SP&o=
&a=M&z=800x550&d=HIGH&b=LINE&st=
 
And last but not least, Gold going back to 1971:
 
 
http://futuresource.quote.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=GC&o=
&a=M&z=800x550&d=HIGH&b=LINE&st=
 
Now let us look at an overlap of Gold and the Dollar:
 
 
http://futuresource.quote.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=GC&o
=DX&a=M&z=800x550&d=HIGH&b=LINE&st=
 
 
Interesting, don't you think?
 
But even more so is an overlap of the S&P 500 and the Dollar:
 
 
http://futuresource.quote.com/charts/charts.jsp?s=SP&o=D
X&a=M&z=800x550&d=HIGH&b=LINE&st=
 
 
You will see that in 1987-88, the Dollar was brought down in most probabilities and under the then circumstances to effect the rise in the Stock Market (US Economic growth).
 
Then starting in 1995, the Dollar went up with the Stock Market (Very big US Economic growth and International money pouring into the US)
 
The interesting point is that in 2004, to 2007 an inverse relationship was presented that appears to be the "Big Screw" to International Players that was being played out where the Dollar sold off and the market ran up. (International players were losing on the US currency value offsetting their profits in the US Stock Market holdings. If they went short in the Stock Market back then, they lost big money)
 
What this tells me now is that a "convergence" is about to take place over the next four to five years, but could happen in two.
 
As I have brought forward on my site and in posts, the US Government, in composite totals, owns the Markets (Commodity, Stock, and Currency) by investment, and in analogy: "When you own the Cookie Jar, you determine the value of what the cookies will sell for." That's the "definition" of a rigged game?
 
On this last chart above of the Dollar Index and S&P 500, where will the two meet again? That is the big question. Maybe S&P 1150 - 1050 and DX 114.
 
In any event, it will be only about twenty to thirty trillion dollars that will change hands between now and then, and I will bet you that when all is said and done, Government's investment portfolios will be sitting on the largest chunk of that amount after the fat lady sings. Same, same as they also did within two-years following 911.
 
Truly Yours,
 
Walter J. Burien, Jr.
P. O. Box 2112
Saint Johns, AZ 85936
 
928-445-3532
http://CAFR1.com
 
 
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THE ABOVE WAS IN REPLY TO A FORWARD FROM : WAYNE B. COPIED BELOW
 
 
From: charles seabert
Sent: Saturday, August 18, 2007
Subject: Top 25 Derivative Bank Nightmares (from Sovereign Society)
Sending this info to you in case you are involved with one of there banks. -- Charles Seabert
I copied and pasted this for you to pass on if you want, Chuck. I didn't
put the whole article in - just naming the highest leveraged banks out
there. RANK - BANK - NAME - DERIVATIVES HELD in $U.S. Billions
(as of 3/31/2007) Rounded off to the closest hundred million dollars.
 
1 JPMorgan Chase $70,817,300,000 
 
 
2 Citibank $30,070,000,000
 
 
3 Bank of America $28,535,900,000
 
 
4 HSBC Bank $5,649,200,000 
 
 
5 Wachovia Bank $5,454,900,000 
 
 
6 Bank Of New York $959,700,000
 
 
7 Wells Fargo Bank $879,800,000
 
 
8 State Street Bank & Trust Co. $588,200,000
 
 
9 PNC Bank National $244,900,000
 
 
10 Sun Trust Bank  $204,200,000
 
11 Mellon Bank $133,300,000 
 
 
12 National City Bank $133,200,000
 
 
13 Northern Trust Company $112,000,000
 
 
14 KeyBank $96,900,000
 
 
15 LaSalle Bank National $76,600,000
 
 
16 U.S. Bank $74,800,000
 
 
17 Merrill Lynch Bank $72,400,000
 
 
18 Branch Banking & Trust Co. $43,700,000
 
 
19 Regions Bank $40,900,000
 
 
20 Fifth Third Bank $35,400,000
 
 
21 First Tennessee Bank $31,600,000
 
 
22 Deutsche Bank Trust Co. $26,900,000
 
 
23 Union Bank of California $24,200,000
 
 
24 Capital One Bank $23,500,000
 
 
25 Lehman Brothers Bank $23,500,000
 
 
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