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Report To Warn On
Emergence Of China
As Strategic Rival
By Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington
Financial Times - UK
5-26-5
 
The Pentagon is preparing to release a report on the Chinese military warning that the US should take more seriously the possibility that China may emerge as a strategic rival, according to three sources familiar with the report.
 
Some officials at the State Department and the National Security Council are concerned that the congressionally mandated report paints an antagonistic picture of China, according to one person familiar with the report. There is also concern that the report will complicate US efforts to work with China to encourage North Korea to return to the negotiating table over its nuclear programme.
 
President George W. Bush came to office in 2001 calling China a "strategic competitor" rather than a "strategic partner", the term favoured by the Clinton administration. But US-China relations have improved markedly since the 2001 al-Qaeda attacks on the US, as China has co-operated in the US "war on terror". However, the Pentagon report appears to bring the administration closer to the views expressed by Mr Bush before he became president.
 
Two sources said the report would mention "assassin's mace" strategies - a term employed during China's warring states period that referred to secret weapons and strategies used to deceive and quickly defeat enemies - which the People's Liberation Army could be developing for use against Taiwan.
 
While the report has not been finalised, and could still be subject to revision, it is expected to emphasise "known unknowns" - including the lack of US knowledge about the actual size of the Chinese defence budget and its future military strategy. The language is an attempt to emphasise that the US should not accept at face value China's statements that it intends to emerge as a peaceful power.
 
The more controversial elements of the report were written by Michael Pillsbury, a former assistant undersecretary of defence, who has been critical of the level of secrecy surrounding China's military. One source said the NSC was opposing Mr Pillsbury's views because they would fuel hardliners in Beijing.
 
The source said the report, which could be submitted to Congress as early as this week, said the Pentagon was simply responding to congressional pressure.
 
He said Duncan Hunter, chairman of the House armed services committee, and China hawks on the Senate armed services committee were concerned that previous reports had been too soft in assessing China's future strategies.
 
In recent months senior US officials, including Donald Rumsfeld, defence secretary, and Porter Goss, Central Intelligence Agency director, have voiced concerns about the rapidly expanding Chinese military.
 
© Copyright The Financial Times Ltd 2005.
 
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/a6635eb8-ccb9-11d9-bb87-00000e2511c8.html
 

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