Most of the vociferously pro-Israeli neo-conservative
policymakers in the Bush administration make no effort to hide the fact
that at least part of their intention in promoting war against Iraq (and
later perhaps against Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, and the Palestinians) is
to guarantee Israel's security by eliminating its greatest military threats,
forging a regional balance of power overwhelmingly in Israel's favor, and
in general creating a more friendly atmosphere for Israel in the Middle
East. Yet, despite the neo-cons' own openness, a great many of those on
the left who oppose going to war with Iraq and oppose the neo-conservative
doctrines of the Bush administration nonetheless utterly reject any suggestion
that Israel is pushing the United States into war, or is cooperating with
the U.S., or even hopes to benefit by such a war. Anyone who has the temerity
to suggest any Israeli instigation of, or even involvement in, Bush administration
war planning is inevitably labeled somewhere along the way as an anti-Semite.
Just whisper the word "domination" anywhere in the vicinity of
the word "Israel," as in "U.S.-Israeli domination of the
Middle East" or "the U.S. drive to assure global domination and
guarantee security for Israel," and some leftist who otherwise opposes
going to war against Iraq will trot out charges of promoting the Protocols
of the Elders of Zion, the old czarist forgery that asserted a Jewish plan
for world domination.
This is tiresome, to put it mildly. So it's useful to put forth the evidence
for the assertion of Israeli complicity in Bush administration planning
for war with Iraq, which is voluminous, as the following recitation will
show. Much of what is presented below could be classified as circumstantial,
but much is from the mouths of the horses themselves, either the neo-con
planners or Israeli government officials, and much of it is evidence that,
even if Israel is not actively pushing for war, many Israelis expect to
benefit from it, and this despite their fear that a war will bring down
on Israel a shower of Iraqi missiles.
The evidence below is listed chronologically, except for two items grouped
separately at the end. Although deletions have been made for the sake of
brevity, and emphasis has been added to occasional phrases and sentences,
no editorial narrative has been added. The evidence speaks for itself.
"Benjamin Netanyahu's government comes in with a new set of ideas.
While there are those who will counsel continuity, Israel has the opportunity
to make a clean break; it can forge a peace process and strategy based
on an entirely new intellectual foundation, one that restores strategic
initiative.To secure the nation's streets and borders in the immediate
future, Israel can [among other steps] work closely with Turkey and Jordan
to contain, destabilize, and roll-back some of its most dangerous threats.
This implies a clean break from the slogan, 'comprehensive peace' to a
traditional concept of strategy based on balance of power. Israel can shape
its strategic environment, in cooperation with Turkey and Jordan, by weakening,
containing, and even rolling back Syria. This effort can focus on removing
Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq, an important Israeli strategic objective
in its own right, as a means of foiling Syria's regional ambitions. Jordan
has challenged Syria's regional ambitions recently by suggesting the restoration
of the Hashemites in Iraq..Since Iraq's future could affect the strategic
balance in the Middle East profoundly, it would be understandable
that Israel has an interest in supporting the Hashemites in their efforts
to redefine Iraq. Israel's new agenda can signal a clean break by abandoning
a policy whichallowed strategic retreat, by reestablishing the principle
of preemption, rather than retaliation alone and by ceasing to absorb
blows to the nation without response. Israel's new strategic agenda can
shape the regional environment in ways that grant Israel the room to refocus
its energies back to where they are most needed: to rejuvenate its national
idea.Ultimately, Israel can do more than simply manage the Arab-Israeli
conflict though war. No amount of weapons or victories will grant Israel
the peace it seeks. When Israel is on a sound economic footing, and is
free, powerful, and healthy internally, it will no longer simply manage
the Arab-Israeli conflict; it will transcend it. As a senior Iraqi opposition
leader said recently: 'Israel must rejuvenate and revitalize its moral
and intellectual leadership. It is an important, if not the most important,
element in the history of the Middle East.' Israel-proud, wealthy, solid,
and strong-would be the basis of a truly new and peaceful Middle East."
"A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm," policy
paper written for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, mid-1996,
under the auspices of an Israeli think tank, the Institute for Advanced
Strategic and Political Studies. Authors included Richard Perle, Douglas
Feith, and David Wurmser, now all policymakers in or policy advisers to
the Bush administration
"Iraq's future will profoundly affect the strategic balance in the
Middle East. The battle to dominate and define Iraq is, by extension, the
battle to dominate the balance of power in the Levant over the long
run.Iraq tried to take over its neighbor, Kuwait, a catastrophic mistake
that has accelerated Iraq's descent into internal chaos. This chaos has
created a vacuum in an area geostrategically central, and rich with human
and natural resources. The vacuum tempts Iraq's neighbors to intervene,
especially Syria, which is also driven to control the region.Iraq's chaos
and Syria's efforts simultaneously provide opportunities for the Jordanian
monarchy. Jordan is best suited to manage the tribal politics that will
define the Levant in the wake of failed secular-Arab nationalism.IfJordan
wins, then Syria would be isolated and surrounded by a new pro-western
Jordanian-Israeli-Iraqi-Turkish bloc.It would be prudent for the
United States and Israel to abandon the quest for 'comprehensive peace,'
including its 'land for peace' provision with Syria, since it locks the
United States into futile attempts to prop-up local tyrants and the unnatural
states underneath them. Instead, the United States and Israel can
use this competition over Iraq to improve the regional balance of power
in favor of regional friends like Jordan."
"Coping with Crumbling States: A Western and Israeli Balance of Power
Strategy for the Levant," policy paper written for an Israeli think
tank, the Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies, December
1996, by David Wurmser, now a State Department official in the Bush administration
"In the [occupied] territories, the Arab world, and in Israel,
Bush's support for Sharon is being credited to the pro-Israel lobby, meaning
Jewish money and the Christian right.[In April 2002] state department professionals
convinced Bush that it was important to quell the violence in the territories
before assaulting Iraq. The U.S. military supported that view, emphasizing
the critical importance of the ground bases in Saudi Arabia and Egypt,
for the success of the mission. But according to a well-placed American
source, the weather vane turned.Vice President Dick Cheney, Defense Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld, and Rumsfeld's deputy, Paul Wolfowitz, asked Bush what
kind of coalition-shmoalition he needed to win the war in Afghanistan.
They calmed his concerns by saying there's no chance the situation in the
territories will shake the regimes of Mubarak in Egypt and the Abdullahs
in Jordan and Saudi Arabia.Last Saturday [April 20], the president convened
his advisors in Camp David, for another discussion of the crisis in the
territories and Iraq. They decided to sit on the fence."
Israeli commentator Akiva Eldar, Ha'aretz, April 26, 2002
"It echoes the hawks in the Bush administration, but Israel has its
own agenda in backing a US attack on Iraq. As Egypt and other Arab allies
issue vehement warnings to dissuade Washington, Israel's fear is that the
US will back off. 'If the Americans do not do this now,' said Israeli Deputy
Defense Minister and Labor Party member Weizman Shiry on Wednesday, 'it
will be harder to do it in the future. In a year or two, Saddam Hussein
will be further along in developing weapons of mass destruction. It is
a world interest, but especially an American interest to attack Iraq. And
as deputy defense minister, I can tell you that the United States will
receive any assistance it needs from Israel,' he added. Viewed through
the eyes of Israel's hawkish leaders, however, a US strike is not about
Iraq only. Decisionmakers believe it will strengthen Israel's hand on the
Palestinian front and throughout the region. Deputy Interior Minister Gideon
Ezra suggested this week that a US attack on Iraq will help Israel impose
a new order, sans Arafat, in the Palestinian territories. 'The more aggressive
the attack is, the more it will help Israel against the Palestinians. The
understanding would be that what is good to do in Iraq, is also good for
here,' said Ezra. He said a US strike would 'undoubtedly deal a psychological
blow' to the Palestinians.Yuval Steinitz, a Likud party member of the Knesset's
Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee, says he sees another advantage for
Israel. The installation of a pro-American government in Iraq would help
Israel vis-a-vis another enemy: Syria. 'After Iraq is taken by US troops
and we see a new regime installed as in Afghanistan, and Iraqi bases become
American bases, it will be very easy to pressure Syria to stop supporting
terrorist organizations like Hizbullah and Islamic Jihad, to allow the
Lebanese army to dismantle Hizbullah, and maybe to put an end to the Syrian
occupation in Lebanon,' he says. 'If this happens we will really see a
new Middle East. It might be enough not to invade Syria but just to have
an American or UN blockade so that no one can ship weapons to it,' Steinitz
adds.Mr. Ezra predicts a US strike would 'calm down the entire region'
by eliminating 'the extremism of Saddam.'"
Ben Lynfield, Christian Science Monitor, August 30, 2002
"As the Bush administration debates going to war against Iraq, its
most hawkish members are pushing a sweeping vision for the Middle East
that sees the overthrow of President Saddam Hussein of Iraq as merely a
first step in the region's transformation. The argument for reshaping the
political landscape in the Mideast has been pushed for years by some Washington
think tanks and in hawkish circles. It is now being considered as a possible
US policy with the ascent of key hard-liners in the administration, from
Paul Wolfowitz and Douglas Feith in the Pentagon to John Hannah and Lewis
Libby on the vice president's staff and John Bolton in the State Department,
analysts and officials say. Iraq, the hawks argue, is just the first piece
of the puzzle. After an ouster of Hussein, they say, the United States
will have more leverage to act against Syria and Iran, will be in a better
position to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and will be able
to rely less on Saudi oil. The thinking does not represent official US
policy. But increasingly the argument has served as a justification for
a military attack against Iraq, and elements of the strategy have emerged
in speeches by administration officials, most prominently Vice President
Dick Cheney.A powerful corollary of the strategy is that a pro-US Iraq
would make the region safer for Israel and, indeed, its staunchest
proponents are ardent supporters of the Israeli right-wing. Administration
officials, meanwhile, have increasingly argued that the onset of an Iraq
allied to the US would give the administration more sway in bringing about
a settlement to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, though Cheney and others
have offered few details on precisely how.In its broadest terms, the advocates
argue that a democratic Iraq would unleash similar change elsewhere in
the Arab world.'Everyone will flip out, starting with the Saudis,' said
Meyrav Wurmser, director of the Center for Middle East Policy at the Hudson
Institute in Washington [and another author of the 1996 policy paper written
for Israel, above]. 'It will send shock waves throughout the Arab world.
Look, we already are pushing for democracy in the Palestinian Authority,
though not with a huge amount of success, and we need a little bit more
of a heavy-handed approach,' she said. 'But if we can get a democracy in
the Palestinian Authority, democracy in Iraq, get the Egyptians to improve
their human rights and open up their system, it will be a spectacular change.
After a war with Iraq, then you really shape the region.'"
John Donnelly and Anthony Shadid, Boston Globe, September 10, 2002
"Slowly, President Bush's war plan against Iraq is emerging from the
thick fog. At first it looked like a collection of hazy slogans, but gradually
it is becoming clear that it has definite, if hidden, aims.The war plan
of the Bushies makes sense only if the US leadership is ready (more than
that, is actually longing) for the occupation of Iraq in order to remain
there for many, many years.But in the eyes of Bush and his advisers, this
is a very worthwhile investment that would yield immense benefits. Among
others:
*The main objective of the American economy (and therefore of American
policy) is the oil of the Caspian Sea.
*The existence of a secure American base in the heart of the Arab world
will also enable Washington to bully all the Arab regimes, lest they stray
from the straight and narrow.
*The new situation will destroy the last remnants of Arab independence.
Even today, almost all the Arab countries are dependent on America.
A massive American physical presence in their midst will put an end to
any pretense of Arab power and unity.A grandiose, world-embracing, yet
simple and logical design. What does it remind me of?In the early 80's,
I heard about several plans like this from Ariel Sharon (which I published
at the time). His head was full of grand designs for restructuring the
Middle East, the creation of an Israeli 'security zone' from Pakistan to
Central Africa, the overthrow of regimes and installing others in their
stead, moving a whole people (the Palestinians) and so forth. I can't help
it, but the winds blowing now in Washington remind me of Sharon. I have
absolutely no proof that the Bushies got their ideas from him, even if
all of them seem to have been mesmerized by him. But the style is the same,
a mixture of megalomania, creativity, arrogance, ignorance and superficiality.
An explosive mixture. Sharon's grand design floundered, as we know. The
bold flights of imagination and the superficial logic did not help; -Sharon
simply did not understand the real currents of history. I fear that the
band of Bush, Cheney, Rumsfield, Rice, Wolfowitz, Perle and all the
other little Sharons are suffering from the same syndrome.Sharon may
believe that he will be the big winner of such an American move, though
history may show that he brought a historical disaster on us. He may succeed
in exploiting the ensuing anarchy in order to drive the Palestinians out
of the country. But within a few years Israel could find itself surrounded
by a new Middle EastA region full of hatred, dreaming of revenge, driven
by religious and nationalist fanaticism. And in the end, the Americans
will go home. We will be left here alone. But people like Bush and Sharon
do not march to the beat of history. They are listening to a different
drummer."
Israeli peace activist Uri Avnery, CounterPunch.org, September 10,
2002
"Ever since the Bush administration ordered the CIA to nurture the
exiled Iraqis, nothing happens to them by accident. [Jordanian] Prince
Hassan didn't just happen to drop in [on a meeting of Iraqi exiles in London]
because he was in town. The Hashemite dynasty has never given up its dream
to revive the Iraqi throne. It could be a great job for Hassan, whose older
brother [the late King Hussein] denied him the Jordanian kingdom at the
last minute. It's true that restoring a monarchy in Iraq does not exactly
fit the Bush administration's vision of a democratic Middle East. But there
are signs that it fits some old dreams of a few of the key strategists
around the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld triangle running America's Iraq policy.
A few weeks ago, Richard Perle invited the Pentagon chiefs to a meeting
with researchers from a Washington think tank.According to information
that reached a former top official in the Israeli security services, the
researchers showed two slides to the Pentagon officials. The first was
a depiction of the three goals in the war on terror and the democratization
of the Middle East: Iraq, a tactical goal; Saudi Arabia, a strategic goal;
and Egypt, the great prize. The triangle in the next slide was no less
interesting: Palestine is Israel, Jordan is Palestine, and Iraq is the
Hashemite Kingdom."
Israeli commentator Akiva Eldar, Ha'aretz, October 1, 2002
"The summer of 1993 saw the emergence of two contradictory paths concerning
Israel and its place in the Middle East. The signing of the Oslo agreement
raised hopes for Israel's integration into a web of political, security
and economic cooperation with its Arab neighbors. At the same time, Harvard
Prof. Samuel Huntington published his essay, 'The Clash of Civilizations,'
in which he argued that the conflicts around the world would no longer
be over ideology, but over culture instead. 'Islam has bloody borders,'
Huntington wrote, counting Israel as a 'Western creation' on the fault
lines of the conflict, along with Kashmir and Bosnia. The idea was accepted
enthusiastically by the Israeli right wing. It also had some supporters
on the left, most noticeably Ehud Barak, who described Israel as a Western
fortress in the region, 'a villa in the jungle.' As of now, it appears
that the argument was settled in favor of the clash of civilizations theory,
which has taken over the political and security establishment in Israel.The
appeal of the clash of civilizations theory is also expressed in the Israeli
enthusiasm for the expected American assault on Iraq, in the hope of showing
the Arabs who's the boss in the region. Israel is the only country to
absolutely support the American decision, and has urged it to act, and
quickly.The tangible result of the change in consciousness has been
deepening Israel's dependence on American defense and economic support.
Sharon led that policy. The same Sharon says there are no free lunches
in policy and is now begging for aid from Washington, trying to point the
American cannon in the direction of its next target after Iraq."
Israeli correspondent Aluf Benn, Ha'aretz, November 14, 2002
"The embrace of U.S. President George W. Bush is Ariel Sharon's chief
asset as he vies for another term of office as prime minister. Sharon is
finding it hard to show any achievements during his 20 months in power.The
only card left in his hand is the diplomatic card, as personified by Israel's
good relations with the White House, and all of Sharon's campaign revolves
around it. Sharon and his cronies are now asking the voters for an extended
period of grace, and are promising that next year will be the year that
counts. All of their hopes and expectations are pointed toward Washington:
an American attack on Iraq is seen as the lever which can extricate
Israel from its economic, security and social quagmire. It is hoped
that the removal of Saddam Hussein from power will set in motion a 'domino
effect,' will end the Palestinian Intifada, bring about the end of Yasser
Arafat's regime and eradicate the threat to Israel from Iran, Syria and
Hezbollah."
Israeli correspondent Aluf Benn, Ha'aretz, November 18, 2002
"To understand the genesis of this extraordinary [US global] ambition,
it is also necessary to grasp the moral, cultural and intellectual world
of American nationalism in which it has taken shape. This nationalism existed
long before last September, but it has been inflamed by those attacks and,
equally dangerously, it has become even more entwined with the nationalism
of the Israeli Right.The banal propaganda portrayal of Saddam as a
crazed and suicidal dictator plays well on the American street, but I don't
believe that it is a view shared by the Administration. Rather, their intention
is partly to retain an absolute certainty of being able to defend the Gulf
against an Iraqi attack, but, more important, to retain for the US and
Israel a free hand for intervention in the Middle East as a whole.
From the point of view of Israel, the Israeli lobby and their representatives
in the Administration, the apparent benefits of such a free hand are clear
enough. For the group around Cheney, the single most important consideration
is guaranteed and unrestricted access to cheap oil, controlled as far as
possible at its source. [A]s alternative technologies develop, they could
become a real threat to the oil lobby, which, like the Israeli lobby, is
deeply intertwined with the Bush Administration. War with Iraq can therefore
be seen as a satisfactory outcome for both lobbies.[W]hat the Administration
hopes is that by crushing another middle-sized state at minimal military
cost, all the other states in the Muslim world will be terrified into full
co-operation in tracking down and handing over suspected terrorists, and
into forsaking the Palestinian cause.The idea, in other words, is to scare
these states not only into helping with the hunt for al-Qaida, but into
capitulating to the US and, more important, Israeli agendas in the Middle
East.'The road to Middle East peace lies through Baghdad' is a line
that's peddled by the Bush Administration and the Israeli lobby. It is
just possible that some members of the Administration really believe that
by destroying Israel's most powerful remaining enemy they will gain such
credit with Israelis and the Israeli lobby that they will be able to press
compromises on Israel. But this is certainly not what public statements
by members of the Administration, let alone those of its Likud allies in
Israel, suggest.It's far more probable, therefore, that most members of
the Bush and Sharon Administrations hope that the crushing of Iraq will
so demoralise the Palestinians, and so reduce wider Arab support for them,
that it will be possible to force them to accept a Bantustan settlement
bearing no resemblance to independent statehood.From the point of view
of the Arab-Israeli conflict, war with Iraq also has some of the character
of a Flucht nach vorn, an 'escape forwards,' on the part of the
US Administration. On the one hand, it has become clear that the conflict
is integrally linked to everything else that happens in the Middle East,
and therefore cannot simply be ignored, as the Bush Administration tried
to do during its first year in office. On the other hand, even those members
of the American political elite who have some understanding of the situation
and a concern for justice are terrified of confronting Israel and the Israeli
lobby in the ways which would be necessary to bring any chance of peace.
When the US demands 'democracy' in the Palestinian territories before it
will re-engage in the peace process it is in part, and fairly cynically,
trying to get out of this trap."
Anatol Lieven, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace, London Review of Books, December 2002
"If you want to know what the administration has in mind for Iraq,
here's a hint: It has less to do with weapons of mass destruction than
with implementing an ambitious U.S. vision to redraw the map of the Middle
East. The new map would be drawn with an eye to two main objectives: controlling
the flow of oil and ensuring Israel's continued regional militarysuperiority.[Patrick]
Clawson [a policy analyst with the Washington Institute for Near East Policy],
whose institute enjoys close ties with the Bush administration, wascandid
during a Capitol Hill forum on a post-Hussein Iraq in 1999: 'U.S. oil companies
would have an opportunity to make significant profits,' he said. 'We should
not be embarrassed about the commercial advantages that would come from
a re-integration of Iraq into the world economy.'...But taking over Iraq
and remaking the global oil market is not necessarily the endgame. The
next steps, favored by hard-liners determined to elevate Israeli security
above all other U.S. foreign policy goals, would be to destroy any
remaining perceived threat to the Jewish state: namely, the regimes in
Syria and Iran.In 1998, [David] Wurmser, now in the State Department, told
the Jewish newspaper Forward that if [Iraqi opposition leader] Ahmad
Chalabi were in power and extended a no-fly, no-drive zone in northern
Iraq, it would provide the crucial piece for an anti-Syria, anti-Iran bloc.
'It puts Scuds out of the range of Israel and provides the geographic beachhead
between Turkey, Jordan and Israel,' he said. 'This should anchor the Middle
East pro-Western coalition.' [Richard] Perle, in the same 1998 article,
told Forward that a coalition of pro-Israeli groups was 'at the
forefront with the legislation with regard to Iran. One can only speculate
what it might accomplish if it decided to focus its attention on Saddam
Hussein.'Now, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has joined the call against
Tehran, arguing in a November interview with the Times of London
that the U.S. should shift its focus to Iran 'the day after' the Iraq war
ends.[T]he hard-liners in and around the administration seem to know in
their hearts that the battle to carve up the Middle East would not be won
without the blood of Americans and their allies. 'One can only hope that
we turn the region into a caldron, and faster, please,' [Michael] Ledeen
preached to the choir at National Review Online last August. 'That's our
mission in the war against terror.'"
UC Berkeley journalism professor Sandy Tolan, Los Angeles Times, December
1, 2002
"The immediate and laudatory purpose of a United States military campaign
against Iraq is to stamp out the regime of Saddam Hussein, the world's
most psychopathic ruler, and to strike a blow against terrorism and the
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. As such this is a welcome
move from Israel's standpoint, whatever the consequences.[T]he American
planners, who display considerable disdain for most of the Muslim and Arab
worlds, seem to think that the forcible removal of Saddam's evil regime
and the consequent implantation of an American military presence in the
wild Middle East will project a civilizing or liberating influence. They
are not alone; not a few progressive Arab thinkers (and many Israelis)
appear to welcome this American deus ex machina into the region."
Israeli military/political analyst, Yossi Alpher, bitterlemons.org, December
23, 2002
"I thinkthat the conquest of Iraq will really create a New Middle
East. Put differently: the Middle East will enter a new age. For the time
being this will happen without us, as long as there's no Palestinian solution.
Many peoples in the region are ruled by frightened dictators who have to
decide whom to fear more, the terrorists or the war against terrorism.
Asad fears for his legitimacy due to the war against terrorism. Arafat
can also lose his legitimacy. The Saudis gave money for terrorism due to
fear. No terrorist-sponsoring country is democratic.In those countries
[that support terrorism] there will be revolutions. Television will play
a role like in the collapse of the Iron Curtain. This will happen with
the Palestinians, too. The Arab world is ripe for internal revolution like
the USSR and China in the past decade."
Former Israeli Prime Minister Shimon Peres, bitterlemons.org, December
23, 2002
"Republican Sen. Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, having just returned from
a week-long fact-finding trip to the Middle East, addressed the Chicago
Council of Foreign Relations Dec. 16 and said out loud what is whispered
on Capitol Hill: 'The road to Arab-Israeli peace will not likely go through
Baghdad, as some may claim.' The 'some' are led by Israeli Prime Minister
Ariel Sharon. In private conversation with Hagel and many other members
of Congress, the former general leaves no doubt that the greatest U.S.
assistance to Israel would be to overthrow Saddam Hussein's Iraqi regime.
That view is widely shared inside the Bush administration, and is a
major reason why U.S. forces today are assembling for war.As the US
gets ready for war, its standing in Islam, even among longtime allies,
stands low. Yet, the Bush administration has tied itself firmly to Gen.
Sharon and his policies.In private conversation, National Security Adviser
Condoleezza Rice has insisted that Hezbollah, not al Qaeda, is the world's
most dangerous terrorist organization. How could that be, considering al
Qaeda's global record of mass carnage? In truth, Hezbollah is the world's
most dangerous terrorist organization from Israel's standpoint. While viciously
anti-American in rhetoric, the Lebanon-based Hezbollah is focused on the
destruction of Israel.Thus, Rice's comments suggest that the U.S. war against
terrorism, accused of being Iraq-centric, actually is Israel-centric.
That ties George W. Bush to Arik Sharon.What is widely perceived as an
indissoluble Bush-Sharon bond creates tension throughout Islam.On balance,
war with Iraq may not be inevitable but is highly probable. That it looks
like Sharon's war disturbs Americans such as Chuck Hagel, who have
no use for Saddam Hussein but worry about the background of an attack against
him."
Robert Novak, Washington Post, December 26, 2002
"With a scandal chipping away at his government, Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon changed the subject to Iraq this week and found his country eager
to listen.Mr. Sharon's remarksseemed to strike a chord with Israeli voters,
who are concerned about an Iraqi attack and still traumatized by the events
of 1991, when 39 Iraqi missiles landed in the country.To some Israeli commentators,
the week's events highlighted the lingering effects of the first war with
Iraq, and how Mr. Sharon, an incumbent prime minister with an unmatched
reputation for toughness, is the likely beneficiary of any debate over
a second one. 'What happened in 1991 is an unfinished chapter,' said Asher
Arian, a senior fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute in Jerusalem.
'The Israeli public feels it has a score to settle. When Sharon
talks about Iraq, it has enormous resonance.'Part of the explanation for
the positive reception of Mr. Sharon is the genuine fear that many Israelis
harbor of an Iraqi attack.The other factor, commentators here say, is the
looming memory of the Persian Gulf war of 1991. For Israelis, proud of
their military successes over the years, that war was a different experience.
At American insistence, they endured Iraqi missile attacks without fighting
back. 'The gulf war was the first time in Israel's history where people
had to hide and run way,' said Itzhak Galnoor, former commissioner of the
Israeli civil service. 'For Israelis to be helpless, that was very traumatic.'"
Dexter Filkins, New York Times, December 29, 2002
Authors' note: Given the prevailing atmosphere in the United States for
debate on Israel, the frequency with which critics of Israel are accused
of malicious ethnic motives, and the widespread skittishness about associating
Israel or American Jews with war planning against Iraq, the following items
are of particular interest. The first of these items reports a clear Jewish
effort to suppress any evidence of Jewish support for war. The second is
evidence, from a non-Jewish perspective, of the effect of the silence imposed
on critics of Israel.
"A group of U.S. political consultants has sent pro-Israel leaders
a memo urging them to keep quiet while the Bush administration pursues
a possible war with Iraq. The six-page memo was sent by the Israel Project,
a group funded by American Jewish organizations and individual donors.
Its authors said the main audience was American Jewish leaders, but much
of the memo's language is directed toward Israelis.The memo reflects a
concern that involvement by Israel in a U.S.-Iraq confrontation could hurt
Israel's standing in American public opinion and undermine international
support for a hard line against Iraqi President Saddam Hussein. 'Let American
politicians fight it out on the floor of Congress and in the media,' the
memo said. 'Let the nations of the world argue in front of the UN. Your
silence allows everyone to focus on Iraq rather than Israel.'An Israeli
diplomat in Washington said the Israeli government did not request or fund
the efforts of the Israel Project and that Israeli leaders were unlikely
to follow all the advice. 'These are professional public relations people,'
the diplomat said. 'There's also a political-diplomatic side.' The Iraq
memo was issued in the past few weeks and labeled 'confidential property
of the Israel Project,' which is led by Democratic consultant Jennifer
Laszlo Mizrahi with help from Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg and Republican
pollsters Neil Newhouse and Frank Luntz. Several of the consultants have
advised Israeli politicians, and the group aired a pro-Israel ad earlier
this year. 'If your goal is regime change, you must be much more careful
with your language because of the potential backlash,' said the memo, titled
'Talking About Iraq.' It added: 'You do not want Americans to believe
that the war on Iraq is being waged to protect Israel rather than to protect
America.' In particular, the memo urged Israelis to pipe down about
the possibility of Israel responding to an Iraqi attack. 'Such certainty
may be Israeli policy, but asserting it publicly and so overtly will not
sit well with a majority of Americans because it suggests a pre-determined
outcome rather than a measured approach,' it said."
Dana Milbank, Washington Post, November 27, 2002
"[We need to] demystify the question of why we have become unable
to discuss our relationship with the current government of Israel. Whether
the actions taken by that government constitute self-defense or a particularly
inclusive form of self-immolation remains an open question. The question
of course has a history.This open question, and its history, are discussed
rationally and with considerable intellectual subtlety in Jerusalem and
Tel Aviv.Where the question is not discussed rationally, where in fact
the question is rarely discussed at all, since so few of us are willing
to see our evenings turn toxic, is in New York and Washington and in those
academic venues where the attitudes and apprehensions of New York and Washington
have taken hold. The president of Harvard recently warned that criticisms
of the current government of Israel could be construed as 'anti-Semitic
in their effect if not their intent.' The very question of the US relationship
with Israel, in other words, has come to be seenas unraisable, potentially
lethal, the conversational equivalent of an unclaimed bag on a bus. We
take cover. We wait for the entire subject to be defused, safely insulated
behind baffles of invective and counterinvective. Many opinions are expressed.
Few are allowed to develop. Even fewer change."
Joan Didion, New York Review of Books, January 16, 2003
When Congress voted on October 11, 2002 to authorize President Bush to
use military force against Iraq, Democrats in the House of Representatives
did not go along, voting 126-81 AGAINST the resolution. Jewish Democratic
representatives, however, voted with the Republican majority FOR the resolution.
Of 26 Jews in the House at the time, 23 were Democrats (two were Republicans,
who voted FOR; one was an Independent, who voted AGAINST). Among the 23
Democrats, 16 voted FOR the resolution and only seven voted AGAINST. Jewish
Democrats thus reversed the percentage vote of House Democrats as a whole;
whereas all Democratic representatives voted AGAINST the resolution by
a margin of 61% to 39%, Jewish Democrats voted FOR the resolution by a
larger margin: 70% to 30%. (Jewish voting in the Senate, where both Democrats
and Republicans voted FOR the resolution, was slightly tilted in the other
direction. Although all Democratic senators voted FOR the resolution by
29-21, the nine Jewish Democrats voted AGAINST it 5-4. The one Jewish Republican
senator voted FOR the resolution.) Taking the votes in both House and Senate
together, all Jews voted FOR the resolution by a margin of 64% to 36%.
It must be assumed that something other than mere happenstance or some
mysterious Jewish proclivity toward hawkishness in all cases accounts for
this overwhelmingly pro-war vote by Jewish congressmen in the Iraqi case.
Kathleen Christison worked for 16 years as a political analyst with
the CIA, dealing first with Vietnam and then with the Middle East for her
last seven years with the Agency before resigning in 1979. Since leaving
the CIA, she has been a free-lance writer, dealing primarily with the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict. Her book, "Perceptions of Palestine: Their Influence
on U.S. Middle East Policy," was published by the University of
California Press and reissued in paperback with an update in October 2001.
A second book, "The Wound of Dispossession: Telling the Palestinian
Story," was published in March 2002.
Bill Christison joined the CIA in 1950, and served on the analysis
side of the Agency for 28 years. From the early 1970s he served as National
Intelligence Officer (principal adviser to the Director of Central Intelligence
on certain areas) for, at various times, Southeast Asia, South Asia and
Africa. Before he retired in 1979 he was Director of the CIA's Office of
Regional and Political Analysis, a 250-person unit. They can be reached
at: christison@counterpunch.org
|