- The steady, massive flow of legal and illegal Mexican
immigrants into the United States cannot be stopped and won't decrease
dramatically even if the Mexican economy blooms, U.S. and Mexican
demographers
say.
-
- "The migratory phenomenon between Mexico and the
United states is structural and permanent," concludes a study by
Mexico's
National Population Council, a ministry of the Interior agency.
-
- The report, "Migration: Mexico-United States,"
concludes that by 2030, the Mexican-born U.S. population will at least
double to 16 million to 18 million regardless of improvements in Mexico's
economy.
-
- "Diverse factors such as geographic proximity, the
asymmetrical and growing economic integration and intense relations and
exchanges between both countries make the creation of migratory flow
inevitable,"
it says.
-
- The council's report was published in Mexico in November
but was ignored in this country until David Simcox, board chairman of the
nonprofit Center for Immigration Studies, produced an analysis and summary
of the document. Mr. Simcox made a copy available to The Washington Times
last week.
-
- The document provides a statistical foundation for
Mexico's
insistence that the United States ease immigration restrictions for
Mexicans
while creating a "guest worker" program for Mexican laborers
and "regularizing" the status of illegal border-crossers now
in the United States.
-
- Prominent U.S. demographers who study Mexican immigration
were questioned about points the study discussed. Although they have not
yet seen the report, they tend to agree with its general
observations.
-
- Some celebrate it. Marcelo M. Suarez-Orozco, a Harvard
Graduate School professor and author who heads the university's Immigration
Project says, "Without reference to politics and considering only
the scientific framework, Mexico and the United States are Siamese twins.
Immigration from Mexico is our history and our destiny. That is the basic
dynamic of the situation seen after 20 years of study."
-
- Demographer Carl Haub of the Population Reference Bureau
says, "It's reasonable to expect that the influx [of immigrants from
Mexico] will continue. It's hard to see any reason that it
wouldn't."
-
- It's widely believed that Mexicans flock to the United
States principally because they are seeking a job and want to pursue the
"American dream." So by most accounts, a widespread rise in the
pay of Mexican workers, accompanying a major, large-scale improvement in
Mexico's economy is one thing that would reduce the number of Mexicans
crossing to the United States.
-
- But Mexico's population council says, "The most
favorable economic conditions will express themselves in only slightly
lower flows in the constant rate of migration," even if there is a
simultaneous fall in the Mexican birthrate.
-
- Mr. Simcox has been studying Mexican immigration since
1986, and he says that given "the most favorable scenarios for
Mexico's
economy and U.S.-Mexican wage ratios ... annual emigration in 2030 will
still aproach 400,000 a year, 8.3 percent to 11.4 percent higher than the
370,000 estimated for 2000."
-
- That rings true, Mr. Suarez-Orozco explains, because
half the immigrants come to the United States to be with family.
"Someone
said the formula for a happy life is based on love and work. That's why
Mexicans migrate - love of family and to get a good job."
-
- It's clear that as the number of Mexicans in the United
States increases, the number of family members wishing to join them will
too. But there are other reasons Mexicans move north.
-
- "Immigrating to the United States or moving back
and forth across the border is ingrained in Mexican culture. Children in
some parts of Mexico are raised with the understanding that they will grow
up and work here," Mr. Simcox says.
-
- Moreover, Mexico's poulation council reports, illegal
immigrants don't give up after a failed border-crossing attempt. Seven
in 10 deportees intend to "try a new crossing in the next seven days
... a proportion significantly higher than observed in 1993-1994, when
the figure was 59 percent."
-
- According to the report, most illegal immigrants
"return
to their effort within days or hours," and most consider "forced
returns just part of the difficulty of the crossing."
-
- Mexicans' migration is not new. Mexicans roamed freely
into and out of what is now U.S. territory before the United States was
organized, and Mexicans have crossed the U.S. border legally and illegally
for 100 years. In the first part of the 20th century, the border was almost
entirely open. The migration caused little concern then, mostly because
most immigrants did not stay in the United States.
-
- Even earlier - in the 19th century - U.S. employers were
happy to have Mexicans trek north for low-wage jobs. Employers still want
cheap Mexican labor, and that further encourages would-be Mexican
migrants.
-
- For decades the Mexican government has valued the money
immigrants send home. In the last decade, Mexican immigrants dispatched
more than $45 billion to relatives south of the border. In 2000, they sent
$6 billion, about $17 million a day.
-
- "On average, receiving households obtained about
$3,000 a year - $2,000 in rural households and a little less than $4,000
in urban homes. That equalled a little less than 40 percent of total
income"
for those families, the national council reported. Mexico is not eager
to have that income source diminish.
-
- University of California economist Gordon H. Hanson and
Antonio Spilimbergo of the International Monetary Fund point out in a study
that repressing immigration works effectively only when the
"sending"
country clamps down, as the Soviet Union did and North Korea does. The
economists say, "International experience has shown that it is very
difficult to patrol a border effectively, especially a long border without
topographical barriers between two democratic countries."
-
- * Tom Ramsack contributed to this report.
- ___
-
- Comment
-
- From Tom Horton
- SoCal
- 3-27-2
-
- HUH? 'Cannot Be Stopped'?? What a load of New World
Order propaganda bullsh*t that is! We can go over and blow Yugoslavia
to pieces, kill over a million Iraqis in the past ten years, polish off
5,000 Afghan civilians at a whim and we can't control our own border?
HORSESH*T!!! We sent a couple hundred thousand Americans to wage the Gulf
'War' and we can't control our own border? Where is my barf bag. How
DUMB do these Globalist creeps think we are? The financial and societal
costs of the 15 million illegals already (ALLOWED) in here is incalculable.
This story even admits to $45 BILLION siphoned out of here in the last
10 years. (Anyone want to double or triple that figure?) This story tells
the tale: we Americans...and AMERICA...are being systematically sold out
and destroyed by the Globalists. And if you can't see it, God help
you.
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