- Recent satellite imagery analyzed at the National Snow
and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado at Boulder has revealed
that the northern section of the Larsen B ice shelf, a large floating ice
mass on the eastern side of the Antarctic Peninsula, has shattered and
separated from the continent in the largest single event in a 30-year series
of ice shelf retreats in the peninsula.
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- "This breakup gave us the information we need to
reassess the stability of ice shelves around the rest of the Antarctic
continent," said glaciologist Ted Scambos. "They are closer to
the limit than we thought."
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- The shattered ice has formed a plume of thousands of
icebergs adrift in the Weddell Sea, east of the Antarctic Peninsula. A
total of about 3,250 square kilometers or 1,250 square miles, of shelf
area has disintegrated in a 35-day period beginning on Jan. 31 of this
year.
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- Over the last five years, the Larsen B shelf has lost
a total of 5,700 square kilometers -- 2,200 square miles -- and is now
about 40 percent the size of its previous minimum stable extent.
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- Scientists worldwide have monitored the Larsen B shelf
since November 2001, when a researcher at the Instituto Ant·rtico
Argentino warned the community of an impending breakup in the wake of warm
spring temperatures and a dramatic 20 percent increase in the ice shelf's
flow rate.
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- International cooperation between Argentinian, American,
British, Austrian and German scientists has resulted in detailed information
on the breakup from field observations, shipboard studies and a variety
of satellite sensors.
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- Scientists attribute the retreats to strong regional
climate warming. Antarctic temperatures have increased about 2.5 degrees
Celsius since the late 1940s. Since 1974 ice shelf extent in the Antarctic
Peninsula has declined by about 13,500 square kilometers, or 5,200 square
miles.
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- Scambos and colleagues Mark Fahnestock at the University
of Maryland and Christine Hulbe of Portland State University have theorized
that once melt water appears on the surface, the rate of ice disintegration
increases. They say melt water ponding on the surface in late summer magnifies
fracturing by filling smaller cracks. From there, Scambos said, the weight
of the water drives the cracks through the ice, making it shatter.
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- "The next shelf to the south, the Larsen C, is very
near its stability limit, and may start to recede in coming decades if
the warming trend continues," he said. "More importantly, regions
of the giant "Ross Ice Shelf are just a few degrees Celsius away from
being overtaken by the same processes that have destroyed the Larsen."
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- Ice shelves are thick plates of ice, fed by glaciers,
that float on the ocean around much of Antarctica. The Larsen B was about
220 meters thick. Based on studies of shelf ice flow and sediment thickness
beneath the ice shelf, the Larsen B is thought to have existed for at least
400 years prior to current events.
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- The breakup of peninsular ice shelves has little direct
consequence for sea-level rise. However the shelves act as buttresses,
or braking systems, for glaciers on the continent.
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- "Loss of ice shelves surrounding the Antarctic continent
could have a major effect on the rate of ice flow off the continent,"
Scambos said. "The Ross ice shelf for instance, is the main outlet
for the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, which encompasses several large glaciers
and contains the equivalent of 5 meters of sea level in its perched ice."
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- http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2002-03/uoca-ais031802.php
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